What do we lose when we become Saudi Alberta?
by Keith McLaughlin
22-03-08
In Alberta’s tar sands lies the equivalent of 175 bn barrels of oil.
Canada is already the United States’ largest energy supplier; each day, more
than a million barrels of oil from the tar sands flows south.
The tar sands have been developing rapidly; dozens of mostly foreign oil
companies are currently stripping the landscape to get at the bitumen which
saturates the soil. The current capital investments in Alberta’s tar sands
total more than $ 100 bn. Grouped together, the tar sands encompass over
140,000 sq km, a mass larger than all of Greece.
Global reserves of conventional oil are declining; virtually the entire
world reserve of unconventional oil lies in Canada. Overall, Canada has the
world’s second-largest proven oil reserves.
The geopolitical implications of this fact cannot be understated; hungry
eyes from Washington to Beijing are looking to Alberta to satisfy their
energy cravings. Canada could supply the Unites States with all its energy
needs and sustain them for a century but continued rapid development of the
tar sands would be needed to accommodate such a lofty order. The foundations
for such a future are already being laid.
Analysts suggest that by 2045, Alberta could produce more than 11 mm barrels
of oil per day, more than enough to quench America’s oil thirst. America is
naturally obsessed with oil security; after 9/11 this condition worsened as
the US government realized its efforts to secure Middle East oil can be
tumultuous, chaotic and costly. Alberta presents a friendly alternative to
our Yankee brethren; we have both a generous tax regime and a charitable
royalty rate in Alberta for American investors.
Plus, as the Asian market continues to demand more and more oil, Alberta
will become very attractive to companies from across the Pacific. The tar
sands are the world’s last great prize, the future of the world energy
market.
The dawning of this golden age is a mixed blessing. The prosperity of
Alberta’s oil industry comes at a price; the acute social, environmental and
political ramifications of Alberta’s situation need to be considered.
Alberta can develop this resource thoughtfully and responsibly or we can
ravenously and aggressively pillage it. Alberta can reap the benefits of
this economic bonanza sensibly and democratically or we can simply give away
what is technically the people’s resource for bargain-basement prices.
There is a difference between becoming an energy superpower and becoming an
energy colony. Alberta can use its newfound international political clout to
better its society, province and country, or our political institutions can
be manipulated and spoiled by the pressures of the global oil market and its
nefarious players.
Personally, I feel that the leaders of this province have not thought this
through so far, and that is not changing. We are moving full-speed ahead --
planning just for today, at the expense of future generations. Alberta
should plan better; our environment, our democracy and our society’s
interests need to be considered. Presently, it seems American and corporate
interests drive Alberta’s tar sands policies.
Extracting oil from tar sands is a very dirty and environmentally costly
exercise. Trees, which are precious resources in the battle against climate
change, are ploughed down so the landscape can be scraped. Alberta’s boreal
forests are being destroyed. Refining oil from tar sands also uses up much
of Alberta’s water: it takes about 5 barrels of water to produce 1 barrel of
crude oil.
The Alberta government has granted licenses for oil companies to divert 349
mm cm of water from the Athabasca River every year. Producing oil from tar
sands creates five times as much greenhouse gases than does production of
conventional oil. Due to its tar sands development, Alberta currently emits
40 % of Canada’s total greenhouse gases.
By 2011, tar sands plants are expected to emit double what they do now,
going from the equivalent of 40 mm tons of CO2 to 80 mm tons of CO2 per
year. The Stelmach government’s recent climate change plan has been
criticized as a “sick joke” by environmental groups; earlier this year,
Alberta announced that it will continue to allow emissions to rise until
2020, but by 2050 the province says it plans on reducing emission levels by
14 % below 2005 levels. This plan is by far the least ambitious in the
country; Alberta will hold back the climate change efforts of this nation
all by itself with its meagre plan. Alberta’s governing philosophy appears
to have no room for environmental concern within its dictum and the recent
climate change plan is indicative of this fact.
The Alberta government is most concerned with rapidly developing the tar
sands, primarily for the purposes of American export; environmental
responsibility is simply not something the government is cognitive of.
Sometimes I wonder, whose oil is it anyway? Supposedly, the resource belongs
to you and me as citizens; we trust the government to do what’s best for us
with the resource, again, supposedly. The provincial government currently
has over 3,200 tar sands lease agreements, mostly with foreign oil
companies. During the Klein years, lease agreements were practically given
away to whoever wanted one. Still, as Albertans we have never had a public
discussion about the rapid rate of tar sands development. In practice, this
bounty of ours appears to be more of an American resource -- we just happen
to sit on it. Seventy % of the oil extracted from the tar sands is directly
exported to the United States by pipeline.
Curiously, no pipelines flow eastwards from Alberta, to the rest of Canada.
Eastern Canada is thus forced to import 40 % of its oil from OPEC countries.
The Alberta government prioritizes the energy security of Americans over
Canadians.
This also makes me wonder, is Alberta a Canadian province or a de facto 51st
state? Alberta gives lease agreements away willy-nilly, our generous tax and
royalty regimes amount to a corporate subsidy; cognizant of these realities,
it is a challenge to consider Alberta’s oil a public resource.
There is a different path Alberta can take that could realistically
transform this province from an energy colony of the United States to a
global energy superpower. Alberta could choose to charge the same royalties
that foreign governments charge. Ironically, these same foreign entities
have descended on our province, beckoned by our lax tax and royalty regimes;
they develop our oil resources for cheap, yet within their own borders they
wisely protect and manage their own resources.
Alberta could follow the lead of states such as Norway, which manages the
economic benefits of its oil industry with the public interest in mind.
Norway has stored away its resource revenue; it has a public trust that
contains over $ 250 bn.
Alberta’s Heritage Fund, created in the 1970s, has amassed a paltry $ 16.6
bn. Alberta could choose to assert its ownership over the tar sands and
manage the resource with the public interest in mind. To me, this appears to
be an unrealistic expectation, given how much the influence of the
international oil industry has already corrupted Alberta’s democracy.
It is hazardous to a democracy when one industrial sector dominates the
economy; its influence becomes too vast and begins to interfere with the
interests of the people. What is best for oil industry profits is not always
best for Alberta, its environment and its society.
That is why the Alberta government needs to manage the tar sands with the
public interest in mind. Thoughtful, forward-looking management policies
need to replace the prevailing policies that are scarring our landscape and
tainting our democracy. Otherwise, our province, our democracy and society
will be dominated by the politics of oil and we will become nothing more
than an energy colony of the United States.
We will become Saudi Alberta.
Source: www.themeliorist.ca |