Another Huge Power Outage is Unlikely but Not Impossible, Some Say

 

Aug 14 - The Columbus Dispatch, Ohio

Five years ago this afternoon, a blackout began near Cleveland and sent waves of power outages to 50 million people in seven states and southern Ontario.

The darkness stretched as far as New York and Toronto.

And yet much of Ohio, including Columbus and Cincinnati, didn't lose power, despite close proximity to the problem's source.

Government investigations later showed that Akron-based FirstEnergy Corp. failed to properly respond to a power surge, an error that was compounded by failures in other parts of the system.

In the years since, fines were paid, systems were upgraded, and many reports were written. But the question remains: Could a similar blackout happen today?

"It is far less likely that it would happen today, but that doesn't mean it won't happen," said Scott Moore, vice president for transmission operations at American Electric Power.

David Cleaver, an electrical engineer for the Ohio Office of Consumers' Counsel, agrees. He said the blackout led to a regulatory overhaul that reduced, but did not eliminate, the chances of another blackout.

"The processes have improved. Safeguards are in place," he said.

Eight months after the 2003 incident, a panel of the American and Canadian governments issued a 238-page report about what happened and how it could have been prevented.

The report has an almost minute-by-minute account of the day, a Thursday, when summer heat led to high energy demand for air conditioning in the FirstEnergy system. By midafternoon, the high energy usage caused high-voltage lines to sag. Lines in the Cleveland-Akron area came into contact with trees and short-circuited.

The damage might have been limited to the local area, except that FirstEnergy's alarm system failed. The company didn't know about the problem and didn't warn neighboring utilities about the surge that was developing.

AEP, the Columbus-based utility whose coverage area borders FirstEnergy's, saw evidence of the power disruption about a half hour after it began. This began several hours of frantic communication.

AEP was able to absorb the surge and make quick adjustments to its system. Only a few thousand AEP customers lost power.

Meanwhile, the surge rippled east into Pennsylvania. It passed through AEP's coverage area into Michigan and continued outward.

The blackout dominated the national media in the United States and Canada. Rumors circulated about possible causes, including freak lightning strikes on power plants and sabotage by terrorists.

Alan Schriber, chairman of the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio since 1999, was in many ways the public face for Ohio's role in the crisis.

He was interviewed on national newscasts, and he later testified before Congress and served on the U.S.-Canada task force.

"It was quite an experience, which I don't want to go through again," he said.

Two years later, President Bush signed an energy-policy bill that set reliability standards for the electricity grid, which was one of the commission's recommendations.

The standards, along with voluntary action by the utilities, have led to changes in how power companies communicate with one another and to upgrades to the equipment that detects disturbances.

Schriber said the changes have sharply reduced the chances of a similar event.

AEP made it through the blackout with almost no damage. Moore, AEP's vice president for transmission, said the company's performance was a combination of luck and superior equipment.

AEP's transmission lines closest to the Akron-Canton area could carry 765 kilovolts, while FirstEnergy had 345-kilovolt lines. Transmission lines are the major connectors, the interstate highways, between power sources and local power distribution systems. The larger capacity of AEP's lines allowed the company to absorb the power surge for long enough to make other adjustments.

"It just depended on where it happened to occur," Moore said. "Not all of AEP's system has the 765-kV backbone."

Since the blackout, AEP, FirstEnergy and other utilities have upgraded their computer systems to provide employees with a more detailed picture of the power system, and to allow quicker response to problems. The companies also have changed their procedures for communicating with one another in emergencies.

Steps have been taken to reduce the cascading effect of the outages. Moore said the spread of the blackout, particularly in Michigan, was because systems automatically shut off when they actually were mechanically capable of handling the high power levels. Utilities have changed the automatic settings to allow for higher power levels.

"If we did see a similar power surge, the system should be able to ride through it better than '03," Moore said.

Looking ahead, AEP is working to expand its high-capacity lines. The company announced this week that it is working with Duke Energy to spend $1 billion on 765-kilovolt lines in Indiana. The roughly 240 miles of lines will help protect the flow of energy to Ohio customers.

Michael Morris, AEP's chief executive, emphasized the reliability of the system when he announced the Indiana project.

"A reliable supply of electricity is fundamental to our quality of life and economic growth," he said.

The blackout showed how fragile that reliability can be.

dgearino@dispatch.com

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