The Global Leadership Vacuum : a Commentary
The G8 Summit in Japan last month was a painful demonstration of the
pitiful state of global cooperation. The world is in deepening crisis. Food
prices are soaring. Oil prices are at historic highs. The leading economies
are entering a recession. Climate change negotiations are going around in
circles. Aid to the poorest countries is stagnant, despite years of promised
increases. And yet in this gathering storm it was hard to find a single real
accomplishment by the world's leaders.
The world needs global solutions for global problems, but the G8 leaders
clearly cannot provide them. Because virtually all of the political leaders
that went to the summit are deeply unpopular at home, few offer any global
leadership. They are weak individually, and even weaker when they get
together and display to the world their inability to mobilize real action.
There are four deep problems. The first is the incoherence of American
leadership. While we are well past the time when the United States alone
could solve any global problems, it does not even try to find shared global
solutions. The will to global cooperation was weak even in the Clinton
administration, but it has disappeared entirely during the Bush
administration.
The second problem is the lack of global financing. The hunger crisis can be
overcome in poor countries if they get help to grow more food. The global
energy and climate crises can be overcome if the world invests together to
develop new energy technologies. Diseases such as malaria can be overcome
through globally coordinated investments in disease control. The oceans,
rainforests, and air can be kept safe through pooled investments in
environmental protection.
Global solutions are not expensive, but they are not free, either. Global
solutions to poverty, food production, and development of new clean energy
technology will require annual investments of roughly $350 billion, or 1
percent of GNP of the rich world. This is obviously affordable, and is
modest compared to military spending, but is far above the pittance that the
G8 actually brings to the table to solve these urgent challenges. British
Prime Minister Gordon Brown has made a valiant effort to get the rest of
Europe to honor the modest aid pledges made at the G8 Summit in 2005, but it
has been a tough fight, and one that hasn't been won.
The third problem is the disconnection between global scientific expertise
and politicians. Scientists and engineers have developed many powerful ways
to address today's challenges, whether growing food, controlling diseases,
or protecting the environment. And these methods have become even more
powerful in recent years with advances in information and communications
technology, which make global solutions easier to identify and implement
than ever before.
The fourth problem is that the G8 ignores the very international
institutions—notably the United Nations and the World Bank—that offer the
best hope to implement global solutions. These institutions are often
deprived of political backing, underfinanced, and then blamed by the G8 when
global problems aren't solved. Instead, they should be given clear authority
and responsibilities, and then held accountable for their performance.
President Bush may be too unaware to recognize that his historically high 70
percent disapproval rating among U.S. voters is related to the fact that his
government turned its back on the international community—and thereby got
trapped in war and economic crisis. The other G8 leaders presumably can see
that their own unpopularity at home is strongly related to high food and
energy prices, and an increasingly unstable global climate and global
economy, none of which they can address on their own.
Starting in January 2009 with the new U.S. president, politicians should
take the best chance for their own political survival, and of course for
their countries' well-being, by reinvigorating global cooperation. They
should agree to address shared global goals, including the fight against
poverty, hunger, and disease (the Millennium Development Goals), as well as
climate change and environmental destruction.
To achieve these goals, the G8 should set clear timetables for action, and
transparent agreements on how to fund it. The smartest move would be to
agree that each country tax its CO2 emissions in order to reduce climate
change, and then devote a fixed amount of the proceeds to global problem
solving. With the funding assured, the G8 would suddenly move from empty
promises to real policies.
Backed by adequate funding, the world's political leaders should turn to the
expert scientific community and international organizations to help
implement a truly global effort. Rather than regarding the UN and its
agencies as competitors or threats to national sovereignty, they should
recognize that working with the UN agencies is in fact the only way to solve
global problems, and therefore is the key to their own political survival.
These steps—agreeing on global goals, mobilizing the financing needed to
meet them, and identifying the scientific expertise and organizations needed
to implement solutions—are basic management logic. Some may scoff that this
approach is impossible at the global level, because all politics are local.
Yet today, all politicians depend on global solutions for their own
political survival. That by itself could make solutions that now seem out of
reach commonplace in the future.
Time is short, since global problems are mounting rapidly. The world is
passing through the greatest economic crisis in decades. It's time to say to
the G8 leaders, "Get your act together, or don't even bother to meet next
year." It's too embarrassing to watch grown men and women gather for empty
photo opportunities.
© 2008 Policy Innovations - The Carnegie Council's online magazine for a
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