IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Observations
at the ACE satellite indicate a continued slight influence from the
coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds have ranged from
580 km/s down to 520 km/s during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for the forecast period (08-10
December) as the high speed stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Dec 069
Predicted 08 Dec-10 Dec 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 07 Dec 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec 014/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Dec 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales