What's Moving the Oil Markets?
•Crude futures moved higher on Tuesday, hovering
around the $91/barrel mark, as expectations that the US Fed could cut rates
again on Wednesday lent support to equity markets, which in turn filtered
through into the petroleum complex, sources said.
•"Petroleum futures markets are once again driven by equities, which are
holding the market up...However, the Dow Jones index is only 10 points up,
so we may see the US selling this market off later on," a London-based
broker said. Analysts also said that the lack of fundamental headlines is
mainly responsible for the strong correlation between crude futures and
financial markets. "With little strong new fundamental news and lack of new
disruptions, the correlation of WTI to equities remains exceptionally high
and as the intra-day volatility is increasing on equities, the big red or
big green printed on Wall Street becomes an increasing sentiment driver for
oil," analysts for Petromatrix said in a report Tuesday.
•However, some fundamentals may return to oil markets later this week in the
shape of the latest US weekly oil stock data, as well as the OPEC meeting
Friday in Vienna. OPEC ministers will meet Friday in the Austrian capital to
decide whether to change current output targets. The main message from OPEC
in the run-up to the meeting has been that oil markets are adequately
supplied with crude and that there is no need for an output increase.
Updated: January 29, 2008
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