Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Jul 03 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions for 04 July due to a
recurrent pattern. Quiet levels are expected for 05-06 July.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jul 066
Predicted 04 Jul-06 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 03 Jul 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

For current space weather conditions please refer to:

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/SWN/

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/alerts/

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales