Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Jul 10 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
 
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2008

 

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  The visible solar
disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels for 11-12 July with a
chance for isolated minor storm conditions possible due to a coronal
hole high speed stream.  Activity levels for 13 July is expected to
be mostly unsettled levels with a chance for isolated active
periods.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jul 065
Predicted   11 Jul-13 Jul  066/066/066
90 Day Mean        10 Jul 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul  015/015-015/020-012/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/30/25
Minor storm           15/15/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/35/30
Minor storm           15/20/15
Major-severe storm    05/10/05

 
For current space weather conditions please refer to:

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales