"America has hardly even begun to repay its debt to
Iraq"
by Liz Sly
01-05-08
As Congress gears up to debate the Bush administration's latest request
for an additional $ 108 bn in war funding for Iraq and Afghanistan, Iraqis
are fuming at suggestions being floated by lawmakers that Baghdad should
start paying a share of the war's costs by providing cheap fuel to the US
military.
"America has hardly even begun to repay its debt to Iraq," said Abdul Basit,
the head of Iraq's Supreme Board of Audit, an independent body that oversees
Iraqi government spending. "This is an immoral request because we didn't ask
them to come to Iraq, and before they came in 2003 we didn't have all these
needs."
The issue of Baghdad's contribution to the costs of the war jumped to the
forefront early in April during testimony to Congress of the Iraq war
commander, Gen. David Petraeus, and the US ambassador to Iraq, Ryan Crocker.
Noting that the soaring price of oil is likely to give Iraq a revenue
bonanza this year of up to $ 70 bn, senators quizzed the two on why Iraq
isn't using its rising oil income to pay more of the costs of
reconstruction.
Iraqi and US officials say they are. Iraqis acknowledge the need for Iraq to
take on a greater share of its reconstruction costs and say it is doing so.
In fact, according to the latest report released by the Special Inspector
General for Iraq Reconstruction, the body established by Congress to monitor
reconstruction spending, Iraq is now responsible for the majority of the
money spent on reconstruction and the Iraqi security forces.
Iraqis say the criticisms in Washington grossly simplify the complexities of
Iraq's situation and fail to take into account the vastness of Iraq's needs.
"I think Iraq now is able to depend on its own money. We do not ask for
extra aid. We are spending on our own armed forces and reconstruction,"
Bayan Jabr al-Zubaidi, Iraq's finance minister, said.
$ 20 bn spent
US officials say the $ 20 bn allocated for reconstruction projects has been
spent and new money is being sought only for targeted programs to help the
security forces, the military effort and projects such as democracy and
anti-corruption programs.
"The era of US-funded bricks-and-mortar reconstruction is over, as
Ambassador Ryan Crocker noted in his testimony to Congress," said Charles
Ries, coordinator for economic affairs at the US Embassy in Baghdad.
The criticisms in Congress that Iraq isn't paying its share are "a bit
overplayed," said Stuart Bowen, the inspector general.
"It's an evolving process, but the Iraqi government has now taken over the
majority of the funding," he said. "In 2007 the US share dropped below 50 %,
and it will drop even more dramatically in 2008."
Behind the controversy lies a giant muddle of misspending, waste, corruption
and poor accounting on the part of both Iraq and the US surrounding about $
100 bn worth of spending on reconstruction and the Iraqi security forces
that has barely dented Iraq's needs over the past five years. Of this, $
46.7 bn came from US taxpayers and $ 50.3 bn from Iraqi oil revenues,
including $ 23 bn in Iraqi money that was spent by the US under the
occupation administration of Paul Bremer, according to Bowen.
Though it was the Bush administration's original intention that Iraq's oil
revenues should be used to finance all the rebuilding of Iraq, the
projection that Iraq would earn $ 50 bn to $ 100 bn from oil exports in the
first two years proved to be wildly optimistic, as did estimates that the
whole war would cost $ 50 bn to $ 60 bn. The Congressional Budget Office now
puts the total cost of the war to date at $ 600 bn.
The poor state of Iraq's oil infrastructure, sabotage and smuggling meant
exports never reached the 3.3 mm bpd anticipated by the administration --
exports now are averaging around 2.2 mm bpd. Oil export revenues passed the
$ 100 bn mark only in the second half of 2007, nearly five years after the
invasion.
The soaring price of oil this year means Iraq can expect a windfall of $ 60
bn to $ 70 bn, significantly more than the nation's $ 48 bn budget. Though
the price of a barrel of oil hit a peak of $ 119.93 earlier, Iraqi oil
fetches a lower level, around $ 90, though that is still higher than the $
57 a barrel estimate used to draw up the budget. Iraq had earned $ 19.3 bn
from oil revenues so far this year, according to the State Department.
Iraq is already planning a bumper year for reconstruction, with a
supplemental budget of $ 5 bn to $ 7 bn to be added to the $ 13.3 bn already
earmarked for reconstruction, Zubaidi said. There is also an extra $ 10 bn
in unspent money left over from previous years in the New York bank account
into which all of its oil revenues must be deposited, under the terms of a
UN resolution.
But these figures pale in comparison to the size of Iraq's needs, Zubaidi
said. The Iraqi government put the total cost of reconstructing Iraq at $
200 bn in 2005, a figure that is likely to have risen since then. There are
no independent estimates for the overall requirements, but the Special
Inspector General's report cites estimates of $ 25 bn needed just to repair
Iraq's electricity sector and $ 100 bn worth of investment required for its
dilapidated oil infrastructure.
One problem is that Iraq's inexperienced ministries have had a hard time
spending all the money available to them. Iraq spent only 23 % of its $ 6.2
bn budget for capital investments in 2006 and a little over half of the $ 10
bn allocated in 2007, according to Bowen's report.
Many ministers lack the expertise to properly spend large amounts of money,
said Zubaidi, and some of the large-scale infrastructure projects require
the participation of major international companies, which are still
reluctant to do business in Iraq because of the poor security.
Indeed, pressuring Iraq to spend more of its oil bonanza quickly could
result in money being misspent, government officials warn.
"I don't care what America is angry about. I care about how we reconstruct
Iraq and I'm afraid this controversy in the US might result in Iraqi money
being wasted, simply to respond to this noise that we haven't spent the
money," said Basit, the auditor. "In these years we will need many billions,
and we need to spend it correctly, not just throw it away."
Corruption's cost unclear
How much of the reconstruction money has been lost to corruption is another
question mark. Radhi al-Radhi, the former head of Iraq's Integrity
Commission, put the figure at $ 18 bn in testimony to the Senate in March. A
US Government Accountability Office report last year said Iraq may be losing
as much as $ 15 mm a day in oil revenues due to smuggling.
Basit believes these numbers are an overstatement. Whatever the amounts
embezzled by Iraqis, he says, the figure is insignificant compared with the
$ 8.8 bn in Iraqi oil money spent by the Bremer administration that still
can't be accounted for, according to Special Inspector General reports.
"I am sure the amounts wasted under Bremer exceed the amounts wasted since
then," he said. "All the money spent in Iraq needs to be audited very
carefully, but the money spent by Americans in Iraq needs an extra special
audit."
Figures like these contribute to the widespread perception among Iraqis that
the US invaded only to steal the nation's oil, making it difficult for Iraqi
legislators to contemplate contributing to the costs of the US military in
Iraq, said Sunni lawmaker Dhafer al-Ani.
"It's illogical, illegal and immoral," he said of the US proposal that Iraq
give the US military cheap oil. "Any additional commitments by the Iraqis to
the Americans will make it less respected in the eyes of the Iraqi people,
and that will make things even more complicated."
Source: www.chicagotribune.com
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