North Sea production is in decline much more quickly than predicted



07-05-08

Production from the British sector of the North Sea started 2008 with a slight boost on December's output but still comparably down on the same period in April.
According to the latest Oil & Gas Index published by the Royal Bank of Scotland, daily oil output averaged 1.26 mm bpd in January, 200,000 bpd less than the same month in 2007.

North Sea production, which barely covers UK demand, is in decline much more quickly than predicted. The most pessimist forecasts suggest oil and gas production could be only a sixth of current levels.
The trade association, Oil & Gas UK has warned that unless the trend of companies drilling fewer exploration wells in the North Sea is reversed, about nine years' worth of production, some 9 bn barrels of oil and gas could be left.

Oil was discovered in the North Sea in the late 1960s, with production peaking in 1999 at about 4.5 mm bpd. The worst scenario is that it could run dry within a decade.
The government insists that there is still at least 16to 25 years of production left, estimating there are still between 16.5 and 25.5 bn barrels of oil to be recovered, excluding oil yet to be discovered.

Source: http://english.neftegaz.ru