IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (02 May ). Quiet to
unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on
days two and three (03-04 May), with isolated minor storm conditions
possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 02 May-04 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 May 069
Predicted 02 May-04 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 01 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Apr 004/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 May 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May 008/010-010/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 May-04 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/35/35
Minor storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales