IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (09 May).
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during days 2 - 3
(10 - 11 May).
III. Event Probabilities 09 May-11 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 May 066
Predicted 09 May-11 May 068/068/070
90 Day Mean 08 May 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 May 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 May-11 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales