Shale boom to help US meet growing gas demand
It's been more than a century since the first natural gas wells were sunk in
the United States - shallow holes in the rigid shale formations of
Appalachia.
As experience grows, so does the number of successful wells, which in turn
increases the amount of recoverable gas.
Since then, new technologies have allowed drillers to go after deeper, more
prolific gas basins from the Northern Plains to the Southwest, from the Gulf
of Mexico to the Rocky Mountains - relegating shale-based gas to the status
of "unconventional" if not "marginal."
Until now.
Although much of the industry's attention to future domestic supply has
focused on coalbed methane and the deepwater Gulf, shale is making a huge
comeback - as evidenced by the surge in activity in Texas' Barnett Shale,
which has propelled Devon Energy to the Lone Star State's largest gas
producer. And shale formations in other parts of the country, from Wyoming
to Arkansas to Appalachia, are attracting millions of dollars of new
investment.
Estimates of how much gas is sandwiched between shallow layers of
prehistoric mud now as hard as a chalkboard change constantly as more
exploration-and-production companies plunk their bets on those quirky,
unconventional plays - and have more success coaxing commercial quantities
of gas out of them.
In the 1980s, only tiny Mitchell Energy was pushing drill bits into shallow
but tightly bound layers of Devonian-age "black" shale, hoping to get at the
softer, gas-bearing layer of sedimentary rock, often cracking the surface
with water or gelatins to open up its minute cracks and release its gas.
Now, Oklahoma City-based Devon, which bought Mitchell Energy in 2001,
operates 1,700 of the more than 3,400 wells in the Barnett - wells that
recently propelled Devon's gas production there past 1 Bcf/day. (podcast:
major shale gas players and the obstacles they face)
The Barnett is productive enough to have stopped the decline in Texas'
overall gas production with the 768 Bcf of shale gas extracted in 2007, or
6% of the state's annual gas output.
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), one Barnett field,
Newark East, is the sixth-largest gas field in the United States.
And as prolific as it is, the Barnett is just one part of what many E&P
companies see as a nationwide shale drilling boom that will produce
substantial volumes of gas to help meet growing demand even as conventional
production flattens or declines.
While the Barnett is one of the youngest US shale discoveries, the
granddaddy is the Appalachian Basin, which runs along the western edge of
the Appalachian Mountains from New York to Ohio and Kentucky.
The Energy Information Administration estimated in 2000 that 23.4 trillion
cubic feet (Tcf) of recoverable gas lay beneath that field, the largest
amount of any shale field except the Barnett.
EIA's estimates seem to be too low. The Marcellus Shale, the part of the
Appalachian Basin that lies 6,000 feet below the Appalachian Mountains and
runs diagonally southwest from Canada, through New York state and
Pennsylvania to West Virginia is now estimated to hold 50 Tcf of recoverable
gas in Pennsylvania alone.
With 21,000 wells, the Appalachian Basin shale produces roughly 120 Bcf/year,
according to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists.
Techniques for drilling for shale gas vary from field to field, and
sometimes even within the drilling boundaries of a single well pad. The
right combination of drilling and fracturing varies as well, often within
geologically similar formations.
As experience grows, so does the number of successful wells, which in turn
increases the amount of recoverable gas.
For instance, the Barnett holds an estimated 26 Tcf of recoverable gas,
according to a March 2004 report from the U.S. Geologic Survey - 10 times
the amount thought recoverable just a decade earlier.
The impact of tax incentives on shale gas
In the past, advances in shale exploitation technology were financed by
smaller companies taking advantage of significant state and federal tax
breaks. The so-called Section 29 credits in the federal tax code spurred
drilling in Michigan's Antrim Shale from 1985 to 1995, with the Gas
Technology Institute doing the pioneering experiments with different methods
of fracturing.
The tax credit went away, but not before 6,500 shallow Antrim wells were
sunk - wells that still produce 790,000 Mcf/day, according to Western
Michigan University's Michigan Basin Core Research Laboratory.
Texas still gives shale plays favored tax treatment, which, according to
several industry observers, accounts for Mitchell Energy's ability to learn
on the job in the Barnett. But sustained gas prices north of $6/Mcf are the
real motivator, according to industry officials and analysts.
Mitchell once had the farm-to-market highways all to itself, but with 3,400
wells drilled and hundreds more to come from Devon and relative newcomers
such as Chesapeake Energy, EnCana, XTO Energy and EOG Resources, the highway
is getting jammed.
"The tax incentives encouraged oil and gas companies to try new things,"
said Devon's exploitation manager, geologist Jeff Hall. "My personal opinion
is that while conventional resource plays will continue to produce, the big
finds are unconventional."
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