November 17, 2008
Less Strain on Renewable Energy Than Other Sectors
New Hampshire, United States [RenewableEnergyWorld.com]
What a difference two months can make. Back in September, it seemed like every journalist covering energy issues wanted to write about the "green" boom. Now, with the precipitous drop in the price of oil and the increasing scope of the credit crunch, many journalists are taking a less optimistic approach and writing about renewables as if the industry was in survival mode. "If you were to choose which sector you want to
be in, clean energy would be one of the ones you would choose. We think that
it will come through the downturn well, but there will be some effect,
particularly in the next six months or so."
Developers and financiers are certainly facing a range of problems that
will cause problems and slow growth in the short term, said Angus McCrone,
chief editor at
New Energy Finance, a leading research firm based out of London. But
the global financial downturn is not impacting the renewable energy
industry as drastically as some others, he said.
“There has been a turnaround this autumn as some of the media are looking at the sector...asking the question about whether the priority of climate change is still going to be there with the west in a deep recession,” said McCrone, speaking on this week's Inside Renewable Energy podcast. “We think that clean energy will weather the storm better than most other sectors despite the fact that it's not going to be immune,” he said. Project finance has been particularly difficult for businesses in the sector. Many players such as Lehman Brothers, AIG and GE Energy Financial Services have dropped out of the U.S. tax equity financing game in the last month. While Lehman and AIG left the sector because of their involvement in risky securities, GE's exit had more do with the company's inability to price deals and project its taxable income in order to take advantage of the Investment and Production Tax Credits. In Europe — as is the case all over the world — debt financing is more difficult because banks are holding onto their money and hesitating to lend. In the short-term, the industry may see more consolidation as smaller
players get swept up by larger firms with enough financial resources to
make the capital-intensive investments necessary in the renewable energy
space. One thing working in favor for the renewable energy industry, however, is the fact that the costs of raw materials like copper and steel are also dropping steeply. With lower costs to manufacture wind turbines and PV panels, prices are likely to come down across the board, bringing the cost of renewable energy generation closer to that of fossil fuels. “If you were to choose which sector you want to be in, clean energy
would be one of the ones you would choose,” said McCrone. “We think that
it will come through the downturn well, but there will be some effect,
particularly in the next six months or so.” To subscribe or visit go to: http://www.renewableenergyaccess.com |