| China on the way to 135 GW
wind by 2020
CAMBRIDGE, MASSACHUSETTS, USA, October 22, 2008.
China is on its way toward 135 GW of installed wind capacity by 2020
representing a US$300 billion investment, according to a report from
Emerging Energy
Research (EER), an advisory and consulting firm tracking emerging
technologies.
EER says these enormous investment levels are intended to clean up
China’s energy picture, and to support the development of a globally
competitive wind turbine supply chain, from turbines to gearboxes and
blades. This will have a “transformational impact” on the global industry,
the research firm writes.
The key findings from “China Wind Power Markets and Strategies,
2008–2020” are:
- China is on track to lead the global wind market in annual installations
by 2011, supported by strong political will, improving incentives, and vast
natural and industrial resources. But growth will depend on greater supply
competition, improved and enhanced transparency of project economics, and
improvements in the quality of locally manufactured turbines and wind
project design. How these factors evolve will determine the size and nature
of opportunities in the decade ahead.
- China’s wind development value chain is evolving, with major state
generators consolidating their presence while independent power producers (IPPs)
and foreign entrants seize opportunities as project owners, operators, and
technical consultants. China’s industry-wide demand for project management
and technical skills will perpetuate opportunities for foreign ownership,
executed in the form of equity-based partnerships.
- Turbine and component manufacturers are stepping up to meet booming
demand, striking a balance between quality, production capacity, cost, and
local content. China’s national wind power base initiative is creating
opportunities for manufacturers to scale up their product offering to
capture mega-scale project contracts as well as potential export sales. As
the market matures, rapid supply chain build-up should introduce reliable
sourcing options for all players, enabling greater standardization in
quality and pricing.
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