IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. Observations
from the ACE spacecraft indicate solar wind speeds averaging around
700 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly unsettled conditions with isolated active
periods for 03 October. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for
04-05 October.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Oct 066
Predicted 03 Oct-05 Oct 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 02 Oct 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Oct 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Oct 010/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct 008/010-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Oct-05 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales