IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for 10-11 October. Unsettled to
active conditions with isolated minor storm levels at high latitudes
are expected for 12 October due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Oct 069
Predicted 10 Oct-12 Oct 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 09 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Oct 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Oct 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 005/005-005/005-012/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/30
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/40
Minor storm 01/01/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales