Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Oct 27 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 301 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Oct 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active
conditions for 28 October. Predominately unsettled levels with
isolated active conditions, and possible isolated minor storm
conditions at high latitudes, are expected for 29-30 October.
Increased activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becoming geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Oct 067
Predicted 28 Oct-30 Oct 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 27 Oct 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Oct 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Oct 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Oct-30 Oct 007/008-010/012-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
For current space weather conditions please refer to:
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales
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