Bush Ready to Scrap Nuclear Deal With Russia
Aug 31 - International Herald Tribune
By Peter Baker
Three months ago, President George W. Bush reached a long-sought agreement
with Russia intended to open a new era of civilian nuclear cooperation and
sent it to Congress for review.
Now, according to administration officials, Bush is preparing to scrap his
own deal.
The imminent collapse of the nuclear deal, once a top Bush priority,
represents the most tangible casualty so far of the deteriorating relations
with Russia after its brief war with neighboring Georgia. Vice President
Dick Cheney is heading to Georgia next week, and Bush is poised to announce
about $1 billion in economic aid to the country, the officials said.
Unlike more symbolic actions being discussed in Washington, like throwing
Russia out of the Group of 8 industrialized nations, canceling the nuclear
pact would involve concrete consequences potentially worth billions of
dollars to Russia. Yet it also would mean unraveling an initiative that was
critical to Bush's vision of safely spreading civilian nuclear energy around
the world, a program that relied in part on Russia.
The agreement would have reversed decades of bipartisan policy and allowed
extensive commercial nuclear trade, technology transfers and joint research
between Russia and the United States. It also would have cleared the way for
Russia to import, store and possibly reprocess spent nuclear fuel from
U.S.-supplied reactors - a lucrative business for Russia and a way for the
United States to build nuclear plants while keeping radioactive waste out of
less reliable hands.
The pact already faced deep skepticism in Congress because of Russia's
resistance to tougher action against Iran over its nuclear program. But it
might have cleared the legislative review process if not for the clash
between Russia and Georgia. Now, Bush administration officials say that
withdrawing it would send a signal to Moscow yet preserve the possibility of
resubmitting it to Congress next year if tensions ease.
"The administration is just about at the point of making a decision to pull
it," said a senior administration official, who requested anonymity to
discuss internal deliberations, adding that an announcement "could happen
any time soon."
Other officials cautioned that Bush had made no final decision and might
wait to see what came out of a meeting of European Union heads of state on
Monday. The White House press secretary, Dana Perino, said there would be
consequences for Russia but would not discuss them.
But some experts on Russia and on nuclear proliferation said Bush had few
options. "This agreement is probably going to be the first casualty of
Georgia," said Robert Nurick, a nonproliferation specialist at the Monterey
Institute of International Studies.
The nuclear pact and the economic package are at the top of a menu of
options being debated by senior officials. Other ideas include rebuilding
the Georgian military and aggressively investigating Russian business
transactions in the West in search of corrupt practices, officials said.
John Hannah, the vice president's national security adviser, would not
discuss administration plans, but he said Thursday that in Georgia, Cheney
would deliver "a clear and simple message that the United States has a deep
and abiding interest in the well-being and security of this part of the
world."
Bush broached the nuclear deal during a 2006 visit to Russia, and the two
governments signed it in Moscow in May on the day before Vladimir Putin, who
is now prime minister, stepped down as president. The United States has
similar agreements with Europe, China, Japan and other countries.
The pact does not require congressional approval but must be reviewed for 90
legislative days before it can go into effect. Congress could block the deal
with majority votes in both houses or could proactively approve it without
waiting for the clock to expire.
Senator Joseph Biden Jr., chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, had introduced a bipartisan measure to approve the deal, and his
House counterpart, Representative Howard Berman of California, had pushed
through committee a measure approving it with conditions. But now neither
believes it will pass.
"Even before Georgia, there were real issues," Berman said. "This came
along, and there's just no appetite for it now."
The issue prompted an intense debate within the administration, with some
advocates of the agreement arguing for just leaving it alone because the
90-day period would probably not be completed this year, anyway, requiring
the clock to restart next year.
Critics of the agreement, though, said the president should not only
withdraw it but also vow not to resubmit it next year. "Without taking these
actions, the administration's tough talk should be viewed as white noise,"
said Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy
Education Center, based in Washington.
Originally published by The New York Times Media Group.
(c) 2008 International Herald Tribune. Provided by
ProQuest LLC. All rights Reserved |