IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind observations indicated Earth remained within a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Velocities ranged from 549 - 662
km/sec during the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels through the period (08
- 10 September).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Sep 067
Predicted 08 Sep-10 Sep 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 07 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Sep 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Sep 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales