Crude futures retain gains on firm equity markets,
weaker dollar
London (Platts)--18Aug2009
Crude futures held on to gains on firmer equity markets and a weaker
dollar Tuesday despite persistently weak fundamentals, market sources
said.
At 1011 GMT, the September NYMEX crude contract traded 93 cents higher
at
$67.68/barrel, while the October ICE Brent contract gained 67 cents to
trade
at $71.21/b.
The dollar, meanwhile, fell against the euro, which traded at $1.4125
compared with $1.4077 late Monday in New York.
"There are huge stocks in oil and demand is still weak," one trading
source said. "But the stock market has recovered slightly and the US
dollar is
weaker again so that's given oil a bit of a lift this morning."
One trading source said following the ICE Brent September contract
expiry
Friday, a technical gap on the front month standard continuation chart
triggered a drive to trade above Monday's high of $71.44/b.
"If you look at the Brent chart there is a gap from yesterday's high of
$71.44/b and Friday's low of $71.86/b...if we get through this level
that will
flip the chart and it will look more supportive," the source said.
"The market has a habit of filling in gaps," the source said in
reference
to such technical gaps around expiry dates.
The front month ICE Brent contract had traded only $0.02/b off the low
during morning trade. The fact that this level had not yet been breached
was
attributed in part by sources to trader caution on the back of thin
liquidity.
Looking ahead, the market was also awaiting US housing starts'
statistics
for July, the US July PPI index and the API weekly inventory report.
"Markets should take their cue from macro numbers coming out of the US
on
Tuesday, with July building permits and housing starts, (expected around
570,000 units annualized), coupled with producer price readings all
slated to
come out," Edward Meir of MF Global said in a report. "On the energy
side, we
get API data later in the day."
--Elzbieta Rabalska, elzbieta_rabalska@platts.com
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