Crude futures higher on geopolitical tensions and
weak dollar
London (Platts)--1Dec2009/640 am EST/1140 GMT
Global crude futures edged higher during Tuesday morning trading
with ICE Brent "approaching the top of the trading range," a trading
source said.
"The situation in Iran with the hostages has certainly stirred
things up a little," the source added. Five Britons were detained by
Iran after their racing yacht strayed into Iranian waters last
Wednesday.
At time of writing the ICE Brent contract was trading
comfortably above the five-day, 10-day and 21-day moving averages,
hitting an intra-day high of $79.48/barrel.
At 11:06 GMT the January ICE Brent contract traded at
$79.47/barrel, a $1/b rise, the NYMEX WTI contract traded at
$78.40/barrel, a $1.12/b rise. The ICE Dollar index meanwhile continued
to support the complex losing 0.380 overnight points to trade at 74.499.
The euro-dollar rate meanwhile traded at 1.5080.
"We have more strength to the upside with the Iranian hostage
and nuclear situations. I see the Brent benchmark having the potential
to break to the upside," the source added.
The WTI-Brent spread meanwhile continued to favor the ICE Brent
contract. At time of writing the benchmark spread, also known as the
arbitrage spread traded at minus $1.07/b. "The WTI contract is
approaching some key numbers.
The WTI contract is trading at these low levels due to the
recent Cushing builds. All eyes will be on the EIA (Energy Information
Administration) to see if the builds continue," the source added.
Analysts polled by Platts expected a 1.3 million barrel draw in
crude stocks, a 900,000 barrel build in gasoline stocks and a 450,000
barrel draw in distillate stocks in the API data released Tuesday
evening. The US Energy Information Administration releases its more
heavily weighted report Wednesday.
--George Johnson, george_johnson@platts.com
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