US Long-Term Rates Set Another Low

Location: McLean
Author: Eileen Fitzpatrick
Date: Friday, December 4, 2009
 

Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) yesterday released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.71 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending December 3, 2009, down from last week when it averaged 4.78 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.53 percent. The 30-year has never been this low since Freddie Mac began its weekly survey in 1971.

The 15-year FRM this week averaged 4.27 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.29 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.77 percent. The 15-year FRM has never been this low since Freddie Mac started tracking it in 1991, and breaks the record low set last week.

The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 4.19 percent this week, with an average 0.6 point, up slightly from last week when it averaged 4.18 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 5.77 percent.

The 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 4.25 percent this week with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.35 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 5.02 percent. The 1-year ARM has not been this low since the week ending June 30, 2005, when it averaged 4.24 percent.

(Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.)

"Interest rates for 30-year and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell for the fifth consecutive week to an all-time record low while the average rate on 5-year ARMs hovered near its record set in the previous week," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "In addition, interest rates on 30-year and 15-year fixed mortgages thus far in 2009 averaged one percentage point below their respective average in 2008.

"Low mortgage rates and the cumulative decline in house prices have contributed to an extremely affordable housing market and helped spur home sales this year. For instance, total new and existing home sales in October were 36 percent higher than their January low on a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate, according to the U.S. Census Bureau and the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). The NAR also reported that pending existing home sales rose for the ninth straight month in October, representing the longest consecutive gain since the series began in 2001, according to the National Association of Realtors. Seven of those months were the most affordable on record dating back to 1971, based on the NAR’s Housing Affordability Index."

Summary of Survey Results

Fixed-Rate Mortgages

  Average Conventional
30-Year Commitment Rate
Fees & Points Average Conventional
15-Year Commitment Rate
Fees & Points
US 4.71 0.7 4.27 0.6
Northeast 4.71 0.8 4.24 0.7
Southeast 4.68 0.8 4.30 0.6
N. Central 4.78 0.6 4.29 0.6
Southwest 4.76 0.5 4.30 0.5
West 4.68 0.8 4.26 0.5

Five/One-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

  First Commitment Rate Fees & Points Margin
US 4.19 0.6 2.75
Northeast 4.26 0.4 2.73
Southeast 4.06 0.7 2.75
N. Central 4.11 0.8 2.74
Southwest 4.32 0.5 2.81
West 4.19 0.6 2.73

One-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgages

  First Commitment Rate Fees & Points Margin
US 4.25 0.6 2.75
Northeast 3.94 0.5 2.73
Southeast 4.44 0.7 2.75
N. Central 4.30 0.6 2.73
Southwest 4.50 0.6 2.80
West 4.25 0.6 2.75
Freddie Mac Region

PMMS Weights

 

Northeast

24.2

 

Southeast

19.8

 

North Central

15.1

 

Southwest

12.7

 

West

28.2

 
                   

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Results
December 3, 2009

30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

  US NE SE NC SW W
Average 4.71 4.71 4.68 4.78 4.76 4.68
Fees & Points 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.8

15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgages

  US NE SE NC SW W
Average 4.27 4.24 4.30 4.29 4.30 4.26
Fees & Points 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5

5/1-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgages

  US NE SE NC SW W
Average 4.19 4.26 4.06 4.11 4.32 4.19
Fees & Points 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.6
Margin 2.75 2.73 2.75 2.74 2.81 2.73

1-Year Adjustable Rate Mortgages

  US NE SE NC SW W
Average 4.25 3.94 4.44 4.30 4.50 4.25
Fees & Points 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Margin 2.75 2.73 2.75 2.73 2.80 2.75

The National Mortgage Rate Snapshot

  One Year Ago One Week Ago
  30-YR 15-YR 5/1-YR 1-YR ARM 30-YR 15-YR 5/1-YR 1-YR ARM
Average 5.53   5.33   5.77   5.02   4.78   4.29   4.18   4.35  
Fees & Points 0.7   0.7   0.6   0.5   0.7   0.6   0.6   0.7  
Margin N/A N/A 2.74   2.74   N/A N/A 2.74   2.75  
                           

Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is for informational purposes only and Freddie Mac is not responsible for business decisions made based on the reported results of the PMMS. Freddie Mac may change the methodology used to conduct the PMMS survey at any time and without notice.

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