I always thought I got it. But now I truly understand
Roosevelt's famous words about having nothing to fear but
fear itself.
That fear was at the heart of Great Depression, and
it's at the heart of the economic crisis we're currently
living through. And I'm seeing first-hand that the
difficulty in getting past that fear is, well, pretty
scary.
In the last couple days, my wife and I decided to
postpone a spring vacation we were planning. That happened
after my wife got laid off. A friend told me he's putting
off buying the TV he had expected to buy late last year.
Now, those are two relatively minor personal examples. But
most everyone around the world has similar examples right
now, and many much more dramatic.
And of course, not buying that TV leads to slumping
sales at Best Buy, which leads to layoffs, which leads to
more people spending less money -- for very understandable
reasons. It's a truly vicious circle. And the only way we
break that is for people to start taking a leap of faith
and go back to their normal spending behavior. So the
consumer goes ahead and buys that house. The banks open up
credit to the company for an expansion plan. The business
decides to hold off on layoffs so it will be stronger when
the economy picks up.
We all know there are complicated reasons why these
things aren't happening. But it really comes down to fear
of further risking one's assets, whether it's a person or
a business. And that's leading to a lot of short-sighted
decisions. Operations cut programs that could be on solid
footing six months from now. People put off purchases
they'll probably make eventually anyway.
To be sure, there's a lot of businesses and individuals
in serious financial peril right now, and for those people
spending as usual would be fiscally reckless if not
suicidal. That's the kind of irresponsibility that got us
in this mess in the first place.
But those of us with some means have to see beyond the
daily frightening headlines and believe that we'll come
out of this, as we always have. it may take years. But I
fear it will take much longer if we continue to be afraid.
Allan Gerlat is editor of
Waste News. Past installments of this column are collected
in
the Inbox archive.
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