IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. Field
activity increased to unsettled levels during 04/0000 - 0300Z. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated the increase was associated with a
period of sustained southward IMF Bz combined with enhanced IMF Bt
and a modest increase in velocities.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (05 - 07
March).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Mar 070
Predicted 05 Mar-07 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales