Rich Nations Revise Up Greenhouse Gas Problem
Date: 05-Mar-09
Country: NORWAY
Author: Alister Doyle, Environment Correspondent
Rich Nations Revise Up Greenhouse Gas Problem Photo: Mick
Tsikas
The Hazelwood Powerstation is seen reflected in a puddle in Latrobe Valley,
150km (93 miles) east of Melbourne, July 4, 2008.
Photo: Mick Tsikas
OSLO - Industrialized nations have added greenhouse gas emissions equivalent
to the annual totals of France or Australia to a 1990 baseline against which
cuts required by U.N. climate treaties are measured.
Emissions reported by 34 nations for the 1990 base year that underpins U.N.
efforts to rein in global warming have risen 3.5 percent overall to 17.6
billion tons in the most recent annual data from 17.0 billion in the first
U.N. compilation in 1996, a Reuters survey showed on Wednesday.
That difference -- adding about 600 million tons of gases emitted mainly by
burning fossil fuels to the problem -- is more than the current annual
emissions of countries such as Italy, Australia or France.
The biggest rises have been by the United States and Russia.
Governments refine their emissions counts year by year, in some cases adding
new gas sources. In many cases revisions to the 1990 baseline also add to
emissions in subsequent years, swelling totals that are contributing to warm
the planet.
"One possible reason for a small upward trend could be the permanent
improvement in the completeness of national greenhouse gas inventories,"
said Sergey Kononov, head of the unit at the U.N. Climate Change Secretariat
that compiles emissions data.
Eighteen nations that submitted data in 1996 have since revised up their
1990 totals, while 16 have revised down, according to the Reuters survey.
Kononov saw no sign that countries were tampering with the data -- a higher
1990 baseline might make it easier to make "cuts" and would undermine U.N.
treaties and faith in carbon markets.
OBAMA CUTS
"To our knowledge, there has been no reason for such a worry," he told
Reuters. "In general, the degree of variation seems to be in line with the
usual level of uncertainties in greenhouse gas inventories."
President Barack Obama wants to cut U.S. emissions back to 1990 levels by
2020. U.S. officials say revisions to 1990 have also swollen numbers for
subsequent years, making cuts no easier to achieve.
"Any additions or changes are always made going back to 1990 wherever
possible," said Perry Lindstrom of the U.S. Energy Information Agency.
He said one tiny addition, for instance, was emissions from plastics burned
to generate energy from municipal waste that were not estimated for the
original data in the mid-1990s.
The United States, the top emitter behind China according to many experts,
has revised up its 1990 emissions by 290 million tons to 6.1 billion since
the mid-1990s. U.S. emissions were up 14.4 percent since 1990 in 2006.
About 190 nations have agreed to work out a new U.N. climate treaty in
December in Copenhagen to step up a fight against warming that the U.N.
Climate Panel says will bring more heat waves, droughts, floods and rising
seas.
Under the U.N.'s existing Kyoto Protocol, almost all developed nations have
promised to curb emissions by an average of at least 5 percent below 1990
levels by 2008-12.
Still depressed by the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, emissions by all
industrialized nations were 4.7 percent below the 1990 benchmark in 2006,
the last year for which data is available.
After the United States, Russia has made an upwards revision of about 250
million tons for 1990, the last year of smokestack industry under communist
rule. Other big upwards revisions include France and Japan. Among big
downwards revisions are Australia, Ireland and Italy.
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