In Hot Pursuit of Fusion (or Folly)
Jacqueline McBride
RAYS OF HOPE The National Ignition
Facility in California, to be dedicated this week.
Published: May 25, 2009
LIVERMORE, Calif. — Here in a dry California valley, outside a small
town, a cathedral of light is to be dedicated on Friday. Like the
cathedrals of antiquity, it is built on an unrivaled scale with unmatched
technology, and it embodies a scientific doctrine that, if confirmed,
might lift civilization to new heights.
“Bringing Star Power to Earth” reads a giant banner that was recently
unfurled across a building the size of a football stadium.
The $3.5 billion site is known as the National Ignition Facility, or NIF.
For more than half a century, physicists have dreamed of creating tiny stars
that would inaugurate an era of bold science and cheap energy, and NIF is
meant to kindle that blaze.
In theory, the facility’s 192 lasers — made of nearly 60 miles of mirrors
and fiber optics, crystals and light amplifiers — will fire as one to
pulverize a fleck of hydrogen fuel smaller than a match head. Compressed and
heated to temperatures hotter than those of the core of a star, the hydrogen
atoms will fuse into helium, releasing bursts of thermonuclear energy.
The project’s director, Ed Moses, said that getting to the cusp of ignition
(defined as the successful achievement of fusion) had taken some 7,000
workers and 3,000 contractors a dozen years, their labors creating a
precision colossus of millions of parts and 60,000 points of control, 30
times as many as on the space shuttle.
“It’s the cathedral story,” Dr. Moses said during a tour. “We put together
the best physicists, the best engineers, the best of industry and academia.
It’s not often you get that opportunity and pull it off.”
In February, NIF fired its 192 beams into its target chamber for the first
time, and it now has the world’s most powerful laser, as well as the largest
optical instrument ever built. But raising its energies still further to the
point of ignition could take a year or more of experimentation and might,
officials concede, prove daunting and perhaps impossible.
For that reason, skeptics dismiss NIF as a colossal delusion that is
squandering precious resources at a time of economic hardship. Just
operating it, officials grant, will cost $140 million a year. Some doubters
ridicule it as the National Almost Ignition Facility, or NAIF.
Even friends of the effort are cautious. “They’ve made progress,” said Roy
Schwitters, a University of Texas physicist who leads a federal panel that
recently assessed NIF’s prospects. “Ignition may eventually be possible. But
there’s still much to learn.”
Dr. Moses, while offering no guarantees, argued that any great endeavor
involved risks and that the gamble was worth it because of the potential
rewards.
He said that NIF, if successful, would help keep the nation’s nuclear arms
reliable without underground testing, would reveal the hidden life of stars
and would prepare the way for radically new kinds of power plants.
“If fusion energy works,” he said, “you’ll have, for all intents and
purposes, a limitless supply of carbon-free energy that’s not geopolitically
sensitive. What more would you want? It’s a game changer.”
NIF is to fire its lasers for 30 years.
Like the dedication of a cathedral, the event here on Friday at the Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory is to be a celebration of hope. Officials say
some 3,500 people will attend. The big names include Gov. Arnold
Schwarzenegger, Energy Secretary Steven Chu (whose agency finances NIF) and
Charles Townes, a Nobel Laureate and laser pioneer.
In preparation, workmen here last Thursday washed windows and planted
flowers on the lush campus, the day auspiciously sunny.
Dr. Moses, who runs science programs for high school students in his spare
time, broke from his own preparations to show a visitor the NIF complex.
In its lobby, he held up a device smaller than a postage stamp. This is
where it all starts, he said. From this kind of tiny laser, beams emerge
that grow large and bright during their long journey through NIF’s maze of
mirrors, lenses and amplifiers.
The word laser is an acronym for light amplification by stimulated emission
of radiation. And each particle of light, or photon, is amplified, Dr. Moses
said, to “around 10 to the 25th” photons. Or, “10 million, million, million,
million.”
A nearby stand held a thick slab of pink glass about the size of a traffic
sign — an example of an amplifier. NIF has 3,200 in all. Dr. Moses said the
big step occurred when giant flash tubes — like ones in cameras but six feet
long and 7,680 in number — flashed in unison to excite the pink glass. Laser
photons then zip through, stimulating cascades of offspring, making the beam
much stronger, such amplification happening over and over.
Photons moving in step with one another is what makes laser light so bright
and concentrated and, in some instances, so potent.
Dr. Moses picked up a mock capsule of hydrogen fuel. It was all of two
millimeters wide, or less than a tenth of an inch.
“It heats up,” he said. “It blows in at a million miles an hour, moving
that way for about five-billionths of a second. It gets to about the
diameter of your hair. When it gets that small, that fast, you hit
temperatures where it can start fusing — around 100 million degrees
centigrade, or 180 million degrees Fahrenheit.”
Hair nets, hard hats and safety goggles were donned before entering NIF
proper. Repeated steps on sticky pads pulled dirt from shoes. Dust is NIF’s
bane, Dr. Moses said. It can ruin optics and experiments. He said the
33-foot-wide target chamber was evacuated to a near-vacuum, much the same as
outer space — a void where light can zip along with almost no impediments.
Dr. Moses said the team fired the laser only at night and did maintenance
and equipment upgrades during the day. “This is a 24/7 facility,” he said.
The previous night, he said, the laser had been fired in an effort to
improve coordination and timing. The 192 rays have to strike the target as
close to simultaneously as possible.
The individual beams, he said, have to hit “within a few trillionths of a
second” of one another if the fuel is to burn, and be pointed at the target
with a precision “within half the diameter of your hair.”
The control room, modeled on NASA’s mission control in Houston, was buzzing
with activity, even though some consoles sat empty. Phones rang.
Walkie-talkies crackled. The countdown to firing the lasers, Dr. Moses said,
took three and half hours, with the process “pretty much in the hands of
computers.”
The operations plan for NIF, he added, is to conduct 700 to 1,000 laser
firings per year, with about 200 of the experiments focused on ignition.
There is no danger of a runaway blast, he said. Fusion works by heat and
pressure, not chain reactions. Moreover, the fuel is minuscule and the laser
flash extraordinarily short. During a year of operations, Dr. Moses said,
“the facility is on for only three-thousandths of a second,” yet will
generate a growing cascade of data and insights.
Next on the tour, after more sticky pads, was the holy of holies, the room
surrounding the target chamber. It looked like an engine room out of a
science-fiction starship. The beam lines — now welters of silvery metal
filled with giant crystals that shifted the concentrated light to higher
frequencies — converged on the chamber’s blue wall. Its surface was dotted
with silvery portholes where complex sensors could be placed to evaluate the
tiny blasts.
“When it’s running,” Dr. Moses said, “there’s a lot of stuff at the
chamber’s center.”
Despite the giant banner outside and its confident prediction, it is an open
question whether NIF’s sensors will ever detect the rays of a tiny star,
independent scientists say.
“I personally think it’s going to be a close call,” said William Happer, a
physicist at Princeton University who directed federal energy research for
the first President George Bush. “It’s a very complicated system, and you’re
dependent on many things working right.”
Dr. Happer said a big issue for NIF was achieving needed symmetries at
minute scales. “There’s plenty of room,” he added, “for nasty surprises.”
Doubters say past troubles may be a prologue. When proposed in 1994, the
giant machine was to cost $1.2 billion and be finished by 2002. But costs
rose and the completion date kept getting pushed back, so much so that
Congress threatened to pull the plug. Today, critics see the delays and the
$3.5 billion price tag as signs of overreaching.
Dr. Moses, who was put in charge of NIF a decade ago in an effort to right
the struggling project, said that a decade from now, as NIF opened new
frontiers, no one would remember the missteps. He compared the project to
feats like going to the Moon, building the atom bomb and inventing the
airplane.
“Stumbles are not unusual when you take on big-risk projects,” he said.
Dr. Moses added that the stumble rule applied to cathedrals as well.
Having grown up in Eastchester, close to New York City, he noted that the
Cathedral Church of Saint John the Divine, on the Upper West Side of
Manhattan, was still under construction after more than a century. Is it
worthwhile, despite the delays?
“Of course it is,” he said. Taking on big projects that challenge the
imagination “is who we are as a species.”
A version of this article appeared in print on May 26, 2009, on page D1
of the New York edition.
Copyright 2009 The New York Times
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