IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day one (05 May). Field activity
is expected to increase to unsettled levels on days two and three
(06 - 07 May) with a chance for active levels at high latitudes due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 05 May-07 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 May 068
Predicted 05 May-07 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 May 002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 May-07 May 005/005-010/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 May-07 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/25/15
Minor storm 01/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/40/25
Minor storm 01/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales