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'Crisis' as Norway oil sector starved of new
exploration acreage
London (Platts)--20Nov2009/719 am EST/1219 GMT
The Norwegian Oil Industry Association, the OLF, said Friday that
parts of the oil services industry were "in crisis" due to a collapse in
orders attributable partly to the sector being starved of new
exploration areas.
Association CEO Per Terje Vold said in comments published on
the OLF website that it had enormous significance for Norway as a
petroleum nation.
"The problem we see in the supplier industry today is the
result of a sustained policy in which the industry has been denied
access to new, attractive exploration areas," he said.
Vold said the Norwegian Continental Shelf was mature and
activity was changing.
"The likelihood of making major discoveries in mature areas is
small," he said. "Since 2001, oil production has fallen by nearly 40%."
"And the decline will continue, regardless of whether we make
new discoveries," he said. "But we can break the fall."
Vold said the remote Lofoten and Vesteralen regions offered the
greatest hope for the future of the industry.
The OLF chief's remarks come after Norwegian Petroleum
Directorate director general Bente Nyland Thursday expressed fears that
the untouched and potentially rich but environmentally-ring-fenced areas
surrounding the Lofoten Islands and Vesteralen areas would not be opened
up soon for oil and gas exploration.
Norway's oil industry has been pressurizing the government to
open up the Lofoten region, located in waters above the Arctic circle.
Lofoten is thought to contain 2 billion barrels of oil
equivalent.
Nyland told oil news website Offshore.no she feared the
consequences if Lofoten and Vesteralen were not opened up to
exploration.
"Then we may have to vacuum all the existing fields," she said.
The oil industry has warned of long term terminal decline if
new acreage, particularly Lofoten, is not opened up.
MARGINAL FUTURE
At the NCS Operators Conference in the Norwegian oil capital of
Stavanger this week, senior executives at Statoil talked of a new,
marginal future for the 67% state-controlled energy giant.
"We are facing a rather marginal future which is quite
different from the past," Stale Tungesvik, Statoil senior vice president
E&P Norway Reserves, told the conference.
"The NCS is getting to be a mature shelf. In the North Sea we
have developed infrastructure which is getting older and the resources
are mature," he said. "The big fields are in heavy decline."
Tungesvik said the future belonged to more and more smaller
finds, as well as wresting more production from existing fields.
Tungesvik also revealed Statoil is currently running an
internal project to try to help staff face the realities of the new
future.
"We are in the starting process of something that is very vital
for the company," he added.
Vold Friday said those sectors hit hard by the fall-off in
orders included field development and subsea contractors.
"New large development projects require that there be new
discoveries," he said. "The paradox is that the government assumes that
over 40% of production in 2030 will come from resources yet to be
discovered."
Vold said that because of the order fall-off there were fears
that Norwegian specialist expertize in the offshore industry could be
more than halved within a year, if no major new assignments
materialized.
He said that for several years Norway's oil industry has been
receiving ambiguous political signals from the government. Vold said the
government must stake out the way ahead for the country's most important
industry.
"We cannot fail to point out that one of the main causes of the
problems the supplier industry is now in, is the government's refusal
[to act] in terms of the North."
At the Stavanger conference, that sense of frustration was
often evident.
Shell Norway acting chairman Reider Saugstad said that the
Norwegian Sea could still potentially hold new discoveries saying that
within Europe, Norway has been designated by Shell as a growth area.
"If we are to succeed we need to win new acreage," he said.
"The last time the industry was given new acreage was in 1994 and since
then we have continuously applied for more."
Saugstad said some in the industry now felt that all
possibilities have been exhausted. "Our challenge to the politicians is
simple, give us more acreage," he said.
--Patrick McLoughlin, newsdesk@platts.com
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