Crude futures lower as dollar index hits four-week
high
London (Platts)--3Nov2009/656 am EST/1156 GMT
Global crude futures were lower in early European trading Tuesday
as a resurgent dollar placed downward pressure on the oil complex.
"It's amazing how one day we're 'bulled up' and the next we're
'beared up,' much of which can be related back to the dollar," a crude
trader said Tuesday.
At 11:13 GMT the December ICE Brent contract traded at
$75.75/barrel, a $0.80 fall, while the December NYMEX WTI contract was
$0.93 lower, trading at $77.20/b. In the currency markets, the ICE
Dollar Index meanwhile traded at 76.777 points, the highest level since
October 5.
"The technical charts shows Brent below the five-day moving
average. If the Dow [Jones equity index] sells off later today coupled
with a stronger dollar, I would expect crude benchmarks to trade lower,"
the trader said.
"The key macro developments of the week--namely, the Federal
Reserve policy statement on Wednesday and the non-farm payroll numbers
on Friday-- will be the prime market movers this week, and so we do not
expect the markets to do much until later in the period," MF Global
energy analyst Edward Meir said in a report. "However, we still believe
that despite its fits and starts, the dollar is in the throes of a
mini-correction that could see it strengthen somewhat further from here,
and likely exert continued downward pressure on energy."
The market is also awaiting the American Petroleum Institute
weekly oil stocks report later today.
"The market is anticipating builds," a crude broker said.
According to analysts polled by Platts, crude oil stocks are
expected to post a 1.3 million barrel build. Gasoline stocks are
expected to climb by 800,000 barrels, while distillates are expected to
show a 1 million barrel draw. The US Energy Information Administration
issues its more widely recognized report Wednesday.
--George Johnson, george_johnson@platts.com
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