ICE gasoil contango widens ahead of next week's November expiry
 

 

London (Platts)--6Nov2009/633 am EST/1133 GMT

  

ICE gasoil futures were trading lower in European morning trading on Friday, tracking late-Thursday losses in crude and other product futures that occurred after the 1630 GMT ICE gasoil close.

These losses materialized Thursday despite some positive US macro data, which resulted in gains in financial markets.

"Relatively constructive macro news out of the US ignited an upward sprint in the equity markets, [but] hardly did much to lift commodities," energy analyst Edward Meir said in an MF Global report Friday.

At 1119 GMT Friday, November ICE gasoil was down $9 to $630.75/mt, with the December NYMEX heating oil contract increasing by 0.32 cents to $2.0608/gal.

"In our view, commodity prices are still quite overbought in a number of complexes...We should get more direction from the US nonfarm payrolls number out later on Friday," Meir said.

Looking at structural developments, the contango in distillates futures is widening further ahead of the November ICE gasoil expiry next week.

At time of writing, the November/December contango was close to reaching two-digit levels at $9.50/mt, while the December/January contango widened to $10/mt.

"The inter-products in energy are not improving...The combination of high flat price, high contango and low interest rates will only translate into higher levels of stock building on floating storage, a trend which is being confirmed by different freight brokers," energy analyst Olivier Jakob said in a Petromatrix report on Friday. "We would not want to be long refining margins or long shares of refiners for 2010 as there will be at one stage a brutal floating storage awakening."