Crude benchmarks higher, WTI at $70.30/b, as US
dollar weakens
London (Platts)--8Oct2009/655 am EDT/1055 GMT
Crude futures pushed higher in European morning trading Thursday as
the US dollar came under further selling pressure, with the ICE Dollar
Index trading down to its lowest level since September 23.
"The crude complex is higher on non-oil news. We're seeing a
counter-reaction to yesterday's levels following the US inventory
statistics, but much of the upward momentum is attributable to the
currency markets, specifically the US dollar," a London-based broker
said.
At 1028 GMT front-month ICE Brent traded at $67.96/barrel, a
$0.76 rise. The NYMEX WTI contract meanwhile added $0.73 to Wednesday's
close, trading at $70.30/barrel. The ICE Dollar Index continued its
descent, touching an intra-day low of 75.900.
However, the correlation between a weaker dollar and stronger
crude values appears less pronounced than in August, when the WTI
contract traded up to $75/barrel.
"The price action we've seen in the dollar over the last few
days hasn't led to a similar rebound in WTI. The correlation is
underperforming when compared with the price move seen on the August WTI
contract," technical analyst Stephanie Aymes of Societe Generale said.
Aymes cited $69.30-70.30/b as a technical resistance level for
the ICE Brent contract, with $71.85/b earmarked as a key resistance
level for the NYMEX WTI contract.
"I imagine the market will edge lower in the short term.
However, if the November WTI contract breaks the through the $71.85/b
level, the market will certainly go higher, retracing levels seen in
August," Aymes said, citing further resistance levels at the
$73.60-74.40/b for the WTI benchmark.
Gold, meanwhile, traded at an all-time high of $1,058.48/oz
Thursday, surpassing the previous record high of $1,048.43/oz on
Wednesday, as the sliding dollar has made it cheaper for investors
holding other currencies and boosted demand.
--George Johnson, george_johnson@platts.com
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