Ferrari roars fail to disturb the silence of the
'ghost fleet'
By Shailaja Nair on September 28, 2009 5:47 AM
Last weekend Singapore was in the spotlight, and not just because of the
light-up of Little India heralding Deepavali or the Festival of Lights
celebrated by Indians around the world -- including the island nation.
Lights were shining on some of the world's most expensive and fastest
cars as they raced around for the second Formula 1 Night Race.
As the Ferraris and Mercedes McLarens roared down the track, guzzling
more gasoline than you and I will use in a year -- race cars consume 75
liters of gasoline for every 100 kilometers -- and people crowded the
stands, the race could easily be seen as a sign of the economic recovery
that was being talked about thousands of kilometers away in Pittsburgh
at the G20 summit last week.
Even though corporate sponsors had cut back -- OCBC, one of Singapore's
top banks, had booked a suite for 100 people at last year's Grand Prix
but did not take part at all this year according to local media reports
-- race promoter Singapore GP described the sales through general
ticketing and corporate hospitality extremely good. And to ensure that
fans return, it more than tripled its entertainment budget from last
year's $1.2 million to $4 million this time around. But it is said that
against 100,000 tickets offered last year, only 83,000 were offered for
sale this year and even they are not sold out.
Meanwhile, in Pittsburgh as the G20 heads wined and dined at the Phipps
Conservatory and Botanical Gardens, they vowed to maintain economic
support until a recovery is secured. The G20 group, which accounts for
90% of the world's economy including emerging economies such as China
and India, agreed to revamp the global financial system, and toughen
regulation of banks.
And on climate change, the leaders of G20 nations agreed that there was
a need to make a greater push for a positive outcome at the Copenhagen
meeting in December. This was small consolation for the enviormental
groups that have been calling for drastic and concrete measures, but
they can take heart from President Barack Obama urging the G20 countries
to set a date to end government subsidies for fossil fuels that account
for the bulk of the greenhouse gas emissions that is blamed for global
warming.
However, the most important thing from the Pittsburgh meeting was the
assurance that stimulus packages will not be withdrawn till the economy
recovers.
But when will that economic recovery kick in? Some say it already has.
Others talk of a V-, U- or W-shaped recovery. But tweaking poet John
Keats' lines, economic recovery, like beauty, lies in the eyes of the
beholder. Some see it in every cent's rise in the price of oil, the
shining glitter of the price of gold, the recovering demand for steel,
while others warn these are merely flashes in the pan. The reality lies
much closer to the ground -- or water.
Look beyond the roar of the V-8 engines of race cars and in the
Singapore waters can be seen a casualty of the global recession.
Hundreds of tankers, bulk carriers and freight containers have dropped
anchor here, all with no cargoes and no crews.
Referred to as the "ghost fleet of the recession" by the media, these
ships should have been racing across the high seas carrying fuel or
retail merchandise or petrochemicals. It is estimated that 12% of the
world's freighters, tankers and bulk carriers are now sitting idle.
But with consumer confidence still low, though higher compared with last
year, retail is still to pick up. And till that happens, this ghost
fleet waits for that elusive economic recovery.
And so do the high street shops, the malls and nightclubs. In Singapore,
shopkeepers and nightclub operators were keeping their fingers crossed
that the F1 Night Race would help pull up their flagging fortunes.
But people are loath to open their wallets and spend lavishly. That
spending is what the world is waiting for. And when it will happen is
anybody's guess.
A survey commissioned by IBM recently showed that across all strata of
society people have curtailed their spending in the wake of the
recession. Analysts say that the consumer's mindset has changed.
Consumers are more careful of what they buy, how much they spend. And
the survey shows that the mindset is set to last even when the recession
is over.
So in a classic case of the chicken and egg paradigm, the recession will
begin to recede when people begin to spend and people will not open
their wallets till they see the global economy recovering. Meanwhile,
ships such as the 1,000-ft Maersk vessel Arwa, which had its maiden
voyage in September last year, lie off the Singapore coast, leaking oil
and polluting marine life.
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