Crude prices up on technical considerations,
spreads weaken
London (Platts)--9Apr2010/1005 am EDT/1405 GMT
Crude prices remained above the Thursday's settle through the
European morning Friday on the back of technical considerations with
fundamentals still viewed as weak.
At 11:26 GMT, the May WTI contract traded up 75 cents at
$86.14/barrel, while the May Brent contract on ICE was up 94 cents at
$85.83/b. The two contracts have spent the day in the ranges
$85.67-86.38/b and $85.10-85.94/b, respectively.
"Technically the flat price should still have upside, so being
long is the right thing for [investors]," one trading source said.
Support also stemmed from firmer equity markets Friday which moved up on
encouraging retail sales figures from the US, upbeat comments on
Greece's debt problems from the head of the European Central Bank, and
expectations that Beijing may allow its currency to rise.
The dollar was down on the day as the euro traded at $1.3408
compared with Thursday's close of $1.3360.
Nevertheless while investors supported a flat price rally, the
spreads on the prompt ICE Brent contract fell while reflecting a well
supplied prompt market.
At 03:30 GMT Thursday the May June spread was valued at minus
$0.66/b while at 11:29 GMT Friday the spread was $0.14/b lower at minus
$0.80/b.
"It was impossible for crude markets to carry on pricing the
weakness into differentials. That weakness needs to be shown in the
benchmark structure and so it has come to pass. [There is] too much
oil," one trading source said.
"The market is struggling to place supply," another source
said. "This needs to be priced in."
"We are growing more confident that the wider crude oil
contango will start to materialize into higher stocks in Cushing and
this could start to be visible already in next week's DOE report,"
Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix said in a report. "The stock market is well
supported and that is definitely bringing some buying into the flat
price of crude oil but we continue to expect the rally on futures to
work against the relative values [versus the stock markets] as the rally
is not fueled by the physical realities of the oil system."
--Elzbieta Rabalska, elzbieta_rabalska@platts.com
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