Crude lower as US Dollar Index hits 6-month high
London (Platts)--4Feb2010/641 am EST/1141 GMT
Crude futures were lower in European morning trading Thursday,
curtailing a three-day rally that saw the ICE Brent contract trade close
to $77.00/barrel, as a stronger dollar and weaker equity markets helped
push oil values below overnight settles.
Adding to the downward pressure was a bearish set of US Energy
Information Administration data released Wednesday. "The EIA stats were
slightly bearish which has halted the rally," a source said.
"There's still plenty of potential for the market to move
higher. I see the $78-79/b range as the top end with $72-73/b at the
bottom of the potential trading range," the source added.
At 11:07 GMT, the front-month ICE Brent contract traded at
$75.21/barrel, a $0.71 fall from the overnight settle. The NYMEX WTI
contract meanwhile traded at $76.29/b, a $0.69 fall.
In the currency markets, the US Dollar Index rose to its
highest level since July 15, 2009, reaching 79.715. The euro rate
meanwhile traded at its lowest level against the dollar since June 2009
at $1.3825. The weakness in the euro was linked to growing concern over
EU countries' deficits.
"We suspect that the bias in energy will be lower over the next
two days, particularly if the dollar continues to regain its footing, as
it seems to be doing over the past 24 hours," energy analyst Edward Meir
said in an MF Global report.
"In addition, we believe that the energy complex has had a good
run higher earlier this week on mostly exogenous variables, and we could
now be in a position to roll back some of these gains."
On Wednesday, the EIA reported a 2.317 million barrel build in
US crude stocks, in contrast to analysts' expectations for a 1 million
barrel draw. The EIA also reported an unexpected gasoline stock draw of
1.306 million barrels, against expectations for a 1.5 million barrel
build, according to a Platts survey of analysts, as well as a 948,000
barrel draw in distillates. A 1.2 million barrel draw had been
anticipated.
--George Johnson, george_johnson@platts.com
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