Crude futures hit 15-month high on weaker dollar,
stronger shares
London (Platts)--11Jan2010/724 am EST/1224 GMT
Crude futures hit 15-month highs in European morning trading Monday
as a weaker US dollar and buoyant stock markets helped push the Brent
and WTI crude benchmarks to fresh highs, sources said.
"The market seems again to be concentrating on the economic
indicators," a market source said, noting that "although supplies of oil
are lower than previously due to the cold spell, they remain very high."
"I have heard that this cold weather spell has not spurred the
demand for oil as much as people expected. So a tentatively strong
market at present," the source said, adding that the trend could be
"reversed very quickly should the economic indicators turn around."
At 11:30 GMT, the front-month ICE Brent contract traded at
$82.45/b, the highest since October 9, 2008. The NYMEX WTI benchmark
traded at $83.95/b, the highest since October 14, 2008. Both contracts
were around $1.15 higher from Friday's settle.
In the currency markets, the ICE Dollar Index traded at its
lowest level in more than three weeks at 76.876, down 0.598 from
Friday's close.
"Technically, although we remain overbought in crude, the fact
that prices in most complexes have broken out of their trading ranges
suggests that technical buying will remain intact for a little longer,"
energy analyst Edward Meir of MF Global said in a report.
Technically, both the ICE Brent and NYMEX WTI five-day moving
averages continued to trade comfortably above the eight-day moving
average line, suggesting short-term momentum.
The short-term strength has been a prevalent characteristic of
the crude futures market for around three weeks, facilitating a
flat-price move which has seen both benchmarks gain in excess of
$10/barrel.
--George Johnson, george_johnson@platts.com
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