NREL Study Shows 20 Percent Wind is Possible by 2024
NREL - Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Today, the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) National Renewable Energy
Laboratory (NREL) released the Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission
Study (EWITS). This unprecedented two-and-a-half year technical study of
future high-penetration wind scenarios was designed to analyze the
economic, operational, and technical implications of shifting 20 percent
or more of the Eastern Interconnection’s electrical load to wind energy
by the year 2024.
“Twenty percent wind is an ambitious goal, but this study shows that
there are multiple scenarios through which it can be achieved,” said
David Corbus, NREL project manager for the study. “Whether we’re talking
about using land-based wind in the Midwest, offshore wind in the East or
any combination of wind power resources, any plausible scenario requires
transmission infrastructure upgrades and we need to start planning for
that immediately.”
The study identified operational best practices and analyzed wind
resources, future wind deployment scenarios, and transmission options.
Among its key findings are:
• The integration of 20 percent wind energy is technically feasible, but
will require significant expansion of the transmission infrastructure
and system operational changes in order for it to be realized;
• Without transmission enhancements, substantial curtailment of
wind generation would be required for all 20 percent wind scenarios
studied;
• The relative cost of aggressively expanding the existing transmission
grid represents only a small portion of the total annualized costs in
any of the scenarios studied;
• Drawing wind energy from a larger geographic area makes it both less
expensive and a more reliable energy source – increasing the geographic
diversity of wind power projects in a given operating pool makes the
aggregated wind power output more predictable and less variable;
• Wind energy development is a highly cost-effective way to reduce
carbon emissions – as more wind energy comes online, less energy from
fossil-fuel burning plants is required, reducing greenhouse gas
emissions;
• Carbon emissions are reduced by similar amounts in all scenarios,
indicating that transmission helps to optimize the electrical system and
does not result in coal power being shipped from the Midwest to New
England States;
• Reduced fossil fuel expenditures more than pay for the increased costs
of additional transmission in all high wind scenarios.
“To put the scale of this study in perspective, consider that just over
70 percent of the U.S. population gets its power from the Eastern
Interconnect. Incorporating high amounts of wind power in the Eastern
grid goes a long way towards clean power for the whole country,” said
Corbus. “We can bring more wind power online, but if we don’t have the
proper infrastructure to move that power around, it’s like buying a
hybrid car and leaving it in the garage.”
The EWITS Executive Summary and the full study can be downloaded for
free at http://www.nrel.gov/ewits.
NREL is DOE’s primary national laboratory for renewable energy and
energy efficiency research and development. NREL is operated for DOE by
The Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.
Visit NREL online at www.nrel.gov
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