US copper futures plunge as dollar strengthens
New York (Platts)--20Jan2010/557 pm EST/2257 GMT
Copper futures on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile
Exchange plunged Wednesday as the dollar strengthened and concerns arose
over reports of the Chinese trying to tighten their monetary policy.
March, the active contract, was trading at 334.50 cents/lb,
down 10.20 cents from Tuesday's settlement, at 11:41 am EST (1641 GMT).
It was off an earlier high of 347.00 cents.
The US dollar strengthened as the day went on, opening at about
$1.420 versus the euro before surpassing $1.410 "as fallout from the
Massachusetts Senate rate continues to reverberate through the currency
markets," MF Global said in a report. "Given this strength, oil has
already given up yesterday's entire advance, and metals have given up a
good chunk of yesterday's gains as well. Also troubling the markets
somewhat today was overnight news out of China that authorities have
told some banks to limit lending. The markets interpreted the move as
more evidence of further modest tightening, leading to the selling we
saw in Asia."
Said one US investment bank analyst: "I think it's a
combination of a couple of things: the Chinese trying to tighten their
monetary policy, which has hit commodities, mainly base and energy
commodities particularly hard, and the dollar being up against the euro.
But I think this is a broader commodities story, rather than a precious
metals one specifically," he added, noting that US equity markets were
also down.
In addition, the report cited World Bureau of Metals Statistics
saying that the global copper market was in a surplus by 191,000 mt in
January to November of 2009, down from 205,000 mt in the same period of
2008.
Overnight, copper stocks in LME-registered warehouses had their
second draw in three days after going almost three months without one.
They fell 100 mt to 526,650 mt.
A Commerzbank report said that "inventories may potentially see
a further build-up, as Codelco, for instance, the largest copper
producer globally, expects that production volumes at Radomiro Tomic
Mine will remain at the current high levels. Last year, this mine had
already posted a record output."
--Michael Schneider, michael_schneider@platts.com
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