IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The SOHO/LASCO EIT
imagery observed a faint eruption along a filament channel
approaching the northwest limb. A CME was observed on the C2
imagery following this event around 08/1630Z. The CME is not
expected to be earth directed. Several B-class flares were observed
during the last 24 hours which are associated with a loop structured
region approaching the northeast limb (old Region 1083 N19, L=331).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated unsettled levels for day
one (09 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet conditions are expected for days two and three (10-11 July).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Jul 074
Predicted 09 Jul-11 Jul 076/078/078
90 Day Mean 08 Jul 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 005/006-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
 

ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2010 Jul 09 1105 UTC
Station: GOES13
 

Radio Events Observed 08 Jul 2010
A. 245 MHz Bursts
Start End Peak Flux Time of Peak Duration
2206 2206 120 2206 0000
B. 245 MHz Noise Storms
No 245 MHz Noise Storms Observed.

 

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales