Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

Issued: 2010 Nov 04 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. New Region 1121 (S20E70) was
numbered today and produced a C1 flare at 04/0253Z. Region 1120
(N38E04) continued to decay.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance of moderate conditions for the next three days
(05-07 November).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. A period of
unsettled conditions was observed at mid-latitudes between
04/12-15Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (05-07
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
Class M    15/15/15
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Nov 079
Predicted   05 Nov-07 Nov  082/082/082
90 Day Mean        04 Nov 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.sec.noaa.gov/NOAAscales