Economic Issues at the Forefront
This election season, fiscal conservatives own the GOP grassroots.
By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN
Published on National Review Online on October 7, 2010
The coalition Ronald Reagan assembled of fiscal and economic
conservatives, evangelicals, and national-security advocates has always
been dominated by the social issues at the grassroots level. While
free-market economic conservatives lived in New York and dutifully
attended their Club for Growth meetings and national-security types
inhabited Washington, the Republican social conservatives dominated the
grassroots of the party. They alone could turn out the numbers to
rallies and to the polls on primary or Election Day.
Now, all that has changed. It is the fiscal conservatives and
free-market supporters who own the Republican streets. Through the Tea
Party, they have come to dominate the grassroots of the GOP. It is as if
an invisible primary were held for supremacy at the grassroots and the
Tea Party won.
And social issues are nowhere on the Tea Party agenda. I recently
participated in a conference call with tea-party affiliates throughout
the country. During the question period that followed my speech, one
leader of a local tea-party group asked a question about abortion. The
conference-call leader jumped in before I could answer and ruled the
query out of order. "Our priorities are to oppose taxes, support fiscal
conservatism, and advance free-market principles," she scolded the
questioner. "We do not take a position on social issues like abortion,"
she added.
Along with this change has come a shift in what it takes to turn the
litmus paper red enough to win Republican primaries. It used to be that
abortion, gun control, and gay marriage were the hot-button issues, and
anyone straying from orthodoxy was targeted in the primary and
handicapped in the general election by a lackluster turnout. Now, a
candidate's social positions rarely even come up. It is fiscal and
economic purity that rules the day. Anyone who voted for cap-and-trade
is targeted in the primary. And there is no place for a candidate who
ever backed a tax increase. Every candidate has to sign the no-tax
pledge that Grover Norquist formulated for Americans for Tax Reform.
Where Republican politicians were once terrified to move to the left on
social issues, they are now more frightened of retribution for
departures from fiscal orthodoxy. The once-elitist demands of the Club
for Growth are now echoed throughout America by the surging Tea Party
movement.
A recent Wall Street Journal poll found that 71 percent of all
Republicans regarded themselves as Tea Party supporters, far more than
would identify themselves as pro-life or opposed to gay marriage.
This shift in Republican priorities is opening up the way for social
moderates and libertarians to back Republican candidates in the 2010
elections. The libertarian strain in the American electorate has long
been neglected by the mainstream media. But, through the Tea Party, it
has gained ascendancy on the right. Those who want the government to
stay out of both boardrooms and bedrooms have come to dominate the party
and its nominating process.
Ironically, this change in the Republican grassroots has come at a time
when abortion is falling into disrepute and larger numbers of Americans
report themselves as being pro-life. This swing of voter sentiment might
reflect the growth of the evangelical community of believers or simply
the aging of the baby-boomer population. But even as the right to lifers
move toward a national majority, their clout at the grassroots level of
the Republican party is waning.
But despite this growing support for pro-life policies, no Republican
candidate is basing his or her insurgency against an incumbent
Democratic congressman, senator, or governor on social issues. There are
no ads urging the ouster of a Democrat for his pro-choice policies or
backing of gay marriage. All the ads and the rhetoric are devoted to
fiscal transgressions like support of the stimulus package, the TARP
bailout, or Obamacare.
The failure of presidential candidate Mike Huckabee to win the GOP
nomination in 2008 was, in retrospect, a harbinger of this grassroots
shift. Governor Huckabee starred in the Republican debates with his
witty sallies against big government and his commonsense folk wisdom. He
capitalized on this strong performance to build mighty field
organizations in Iowa and other early primary states. He looked like a
real contender.
But the attacks on his spending programs in Arkansas by the Club for
Growth -- often inaccurate or exaggerated -- undermined his ability to
reach beyond the confines of the evangelical ghetto and doomed his
candidacy to a regional one. He won state after state in the South but
had trouble making inroads in the northeast. (If Huckabee runs again in
2012, it will be interested to see how his hosting of a weekend show on
Fox News will affect his standing.)
But the Tea Party has flourished in all regions, drawing libertarians in
the North and evangelicals in the South, all committed to its agenda of
reduced spending, limited taxation, balanced budgets, and free-market
economics. It is the new mantra of the Republican grassroots and has a
lot to do with the massive gains the party will win on November 2.
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