Shift in Washington State Boots GOP
Senate Hopes
By DICK MORRIS &
EILEEN MCGANN
Published on
DickMorris.com on October 29, 2010
Signs of an unmistakable Republican trend are
brightening the chances of a GOP takeover of the US Senate.
Yesterday, a new Rasmussen Poll showed Republican Dino Rossi one point
ahead of incumbent Senator Patty Murray. The Rossi lead -
obviously within the margin of error - came after he had trailed by
three points in previous polling.
Most significantly, Rossi led by two points among those who had already
voted using Washington State's early voting option. Murray led by
a point among those who had not yet cast their ballots (some of whom
would presumably never do so).
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If
Rossi wins in Washington State, it would be the ninth Republican
takeaway with ten needed for control. Right now,
Republicans lead in the races for the following Democratic held
Senate seats: North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana, Pennsylvania,
Wisconsin, Illinois, Nevada, Colorado, and Washington State.
Only in West Virginia has the Democrat, Governor Joe Manchin,
gained in recent days. If John Raese, the Republican
nominee, can close the three point gap that now separates him
from Manchin, the Senate will go Republican.
In the past week, Republicans have improved in Colorado,
Pennsylvania, Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Washington State,
the signs of a trend are developing.
Less visible is the trend
going on at the House level. In district after district,
Republican polls are improving and there is increasing evidence
of a sweep of truly historical proportions.
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Our own efforts through
SuperPacUSA.com are bearing fruit and the poll data from the 24
House races in which we are working is encouraging. Most
interesting was the fact that Barney Frank has dropped below 50% of the
vote, a sign of possible defeat. Please donate funds to help us
move the numbers in these races. Send donations to
www.SuperPacUSA.com.
The most important indication of an even stronger GOP trend is the fact
that early voters are far more likely to be registered Republicans than
they were in 2008. In that year, Democrats tended to outnumber
Republicans in early voting by an average of about 15 percent. Now
the Republicans, who have fewer total registered voters, are running
slightly ahead of the Democrats and 15-20 points ahead of their pace in
2008.
The Daily Show interview with President Obama reflected the liberal
angst which is depressing the Democratic turnout. Pressed as to
whether he had been timid and criticized for appointing "the same
people" (e.g. Larry Summers) who had failed the nation's economy before,
Obama had no good answers. The lack of a message was evident
through all the bonhomie of the interview.
Now, Bill Clinton's Hail Mary pass in trying to get Kendrick Meek to
withdraw from the Florida Senate race and endorse
Republican-turned-Democrat Governor Charlie Crist, reflects the
Democratic desperation as they see the wave engulfing them.
But none of this will work unless we have a good turnout and Republicans
not only vote by throng to the polls. It is up to each of us to
make these poll numbers into reality on November 2nd.
To join and support the
Tea Party movement, go to
www.JoinTheTeaParty.us
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***COPYRIGHT EILEEN MCGANN AND DICK MORRIS 2010. *
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