Tuesday, 18 Jan 2011 09:12 AM
By Greg Brown
On the eve of a U.S. visit, Chinese President Hu Jintao made
the boldest statement yet on the future of the U.S. dollar as a
reserve currency, calling the current global monetary exchange
system “a product of the past” while promoting his own country’s
currency as a replacement.
In written answers to questions from U.S. media, Hu roundly
criticized the U.S. Federal Reserve for unleashing a wave of
dollars into the world, prompting sharply rising inflation in
places like China and India.
He also rejected the common U.S. complaint that China holds the
value of the yuan artificially low to promote exports to support
its own rise.
He called on changes to the currency reserve system in place
today "to fully reflect the changing status of developing
countries in the world economy and finance," reported The Wall
Street Journal.
As to the Fed, Hu said that an increased supply of U.S. dollars
"has a major impact on global liquidity and capital flows and
therefore, the liquidity of the U.S. dollar should be kept at a
reasonable and stable level."
The Chinese leader went so far as to suggest an overhaul of the
monetary regime in place since the Bretton Woods accord at the
end of World War II, creating instead system that is more "fair,
just, inclusive and well-managed."
Hu’s stance is a dangerous one to both the United States and to
China, considering that a wholesale move by major foreign
holders out of U.S. dollar investments would destroy trillions
in their foreign reserves while thumping the U.S. economy with
much higher borrowing costs.
China’s foreign reserves reached $2.85 trillion in 2010, a total
heavily weighted in U.S. dollars in the form of Treasury bonds.
Oil prices, a huge component along with food in rising inflation
worldwide, are seen breaking $100 a barrel soon with no sign
that major products will hit the brakes. U.S. consumers could
see a quick return to $4.50 a gallon gas, slowing the recovery.
Merrill Lynch commodity analyst Sabine Shels told Reuters that
the breaking point for the global economy is $120 a barrel,
which would mean energy had risen to 9 percent of the total
economy.
"Whenever the size of the energy sector in the global economy
reached 9 percent, we went into a major crisis," said Schels.
Oil touched $147 in July 2008 just as the market began its
historic recent plunge.
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