Siegel Up at Night Fearing Catastrophes
Thursday, 06 Jan 2011 11:44 AM
Influential economist Jeremy J. Siegel says he
remains a long-term bull on the stock market, but he
points to several “scary scenarios” that keep him awake
at night. In the long run, he argues that Medicare is the biggest concern. “Fixing it will require a fundamental reworking of our entitlement programs, but that won’t threaten stocks in the near future,” Siegel says. He says the one scenario that “keeps me up at night” is the threat of a terrorist attack, particularly a nuclear attack on a major city. That would result not only in a great loss of lives and property, but also extraordinary measures to prevent another attack, which would restrict freedom and increase government regulation — bad news for stocks and private enterprise. One other note: Siegel observes that the financial crisis hasn’t resulted in a backlash against capitalism. Rather, recent elections indicate a public rejection of the notion that government can run the economy better than private enterprise. The U.S. market has always surmounted crises, he adds. “I see no reason the future should be any different.” © Moneynews. All rights reserved. Read more: Siegel Up at Night Fearing Catastrophes
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