Report: Pimco’s Gross Sells All US Treasury Holdings
Wednesday, 09 Mar 2011 01:36 PM
By Dan Weil Pimco’s star bond manager Bill Gross has offered a bearish
view on Treasurys in his latest market commentary and remarks to
the media. And according to a report on ZeroHedge.com, he acted
on this bearishness in January, selling all of the Treasury
holdings in Pimco’s Total Return Fund, the world’s largest
mutual fund.
“And if Bill Gross, the most connected person to the upcoming actions by the Fed, believes there is no more quantitative easing, it is really time to get the hell out of dodge in all security classes — bonds, and most certainly, equities.” As for Gross’ own words, Treasurys represent “the most overvalued area of the bond market,” he recently told Yahoo’s Tech Ticker. The reasons for that are the 0.25 percent federal-funds rate that the Fed has kept in place for more than two years and its open-market purchases of Treasurys under quantitative easing that have run at an annual rate of $1.5 trillion. In his March commentary, Gross asks who will buy Treasurys when the Fed ends its purchases under QE2, now scheduled for June. Foreign countries with excess currency reserves, like China, will continue their $500 billion of annual purchases, he says. Aside from them, he’s not sure. But, “Someone will buy them, and we at Pimco may even be among them,” Gross says. “The question really is at what yield and what are the price repercussions if the adjustments are significant.” And Gross says Treasury yields could be set to surge. “What I would point out is that Treasury yields are perhaps 150 basis points too low when viewed on a historical context and when compared with expected nominal GDP growth of 5 percent.” (One basis point is equivalent to 0.01 percent, or one-hundredth of a percentage point.) That’s especially true given that the amount of outstanding Treasurys held by private investors totals only 40 percent, and the amount held by the Fed and foreign governments is sharply rising, he says. "It becomes a question of musical chairs to a certain extent: who gets out first and who's the last one looking for a chair on June 30," when QE2 ends, Gross tells Yahoo. Pimco’s U.S. government-related debt category can include conventional and inflation-linked Treasurys, agency debt, interest-rate derivatives, Treasury futures and options and bank debt backed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., according to the company’s website. © Moneynews. All rights reserved. |