U.S. Fed's Beige Book Report: "Overall Economic Activity Expanded at a Modest to Moderate Pace" in June and Early July
Author:
RBC Financial Group
Location: Montreal
Date: 2012-07-19
The Fed's Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions, otherwise known as the ‘Beige Book', compiled using data collected on or before July 9, 2012 in preparation for the July 31 to August 1 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, indicated that overall economic activity "continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace" in the period since the last report in early June. Specifically, eight Federal Reserve Districts reported modest or moderate growth (compared to 10 in the last report), three Districts reported a slower pace of growth (compared to only one previously), and one cited "mixed activity" (there was one report of steady growth in the previous report to round out the Districts).
Yesterday's release of the Beige Book is somewhat less dour compared to Fed Chairman Bernanke's testimony to Congress during the last two days. While the anecdotal assessment of the US economy is indeed more downbeat than the previous Beige Book with added emphasis on slowing in the growth of activity compared to earlier in the year, the report pointed to continued growth, albeit "modest to moderate," and business contacts across the Fed Districts reported being "cautiously optimistic about future business conditions." The indication of "tepid" employment growth is likely to be the key point in the policy discussions at the upcoming FOMC meeting, and with prices pressures described as easing, the Fed stands prepared to take "further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions" if it views that as necessary. Source: The statements and statistics contained herein have been prepared by the Economics Department of RBC Financial Group based on information from sources considered to be reliable. We make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. This report is for the information of investors and business persons and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.
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