Crude futures settle lower, Greek election optimism fades
New York (Platts)--18Jun2012/434 pm EDT/2034 GMT
Crude futures settled lower Monday after euphoria that led to a
short-lived bounce from weekend Greek elections faded as investors
resumed concerns regarding eurozone debt.
NYMEX July crude futures settled 76 cents lower at $83.27/barrel after
popping to a $85.60/b session high in early trade. ICE August Brent
settled down $1.56 at $96.05/b.
NYMEX July heating oil settled 2.88 cents lower at $2.6177/gal and July
RBOB settled down 4.08 cents at $2.6609/gal.
"Along with a range of other markets, oil prices saw only a limited
bounce after Greek voters gave the conservative New Democracy party
enough votes to make a functional coalition government possible, with
the focus quickly shifting toward the difficult economic prospects still
ahead," said Tim Evans, energy analyst at Citi Futures Perspective, in a
note. "The election result may not have been the worst case scenario as
far as the markets are concerned, but the best case was still not
reassuring."
Analyst John Kilduff of Again Capital said the Greek electorate vote,
which effectively kept the debt-ridden country in the eurozone, led to
the small pop in crude futures. But the gains in crude "vanished because
the election did not erase the challenges of Greece, or those of Spain
or Italy," he said.
The ongoing uncertainty over the future of the European economy led the
declines throughout the oil complex, said Addison Armstrong of Tradition
Energy in a note.
"This is being expressed in the bond markets, where the yield on 10-year
Spanish debt rose to a record 7.13%," he said.
Armstrong said a string of poor US economic data from Friday might
bolster the argument that the US Federal Reserve may announce fresh
stimulus policies on Wednesday, but that view did not hold much water
with the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average lower on the
day.
Investors are also eyeing Iranian nuclear talks with the P5+1 in Moscow.
According to an AFP report, Iran and world powers on Monday failed to
move any closer to a breakthrough regarding the Iranian nuclear program.
During several hours of tense talks, the West sought signs that Iran
could show willingness to scale down the intensity of its uranium
enrichment activities, but Iran appeared to have refused to give major
concessions on its right to uranium enrichment, AFP reported.
"Expectations are not very high for a breakthrough at this meeting, and
a negative result will likely re-inject some geopolitical risk premium
into the oil markets," Armstrong said.
--Alison Ciaccio,
alison_ciaccio@platts.com
--Edited by Richard Rubin,
richard_rubin@platts.com
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