China and the United States may have trade
disputes over green technologies. But they will
still be collaborating in the shale gas arena.
China needs foreign technology and capital to get at
its vast shale gas reserves -- fuel that it
desperately needs to feed its energy appetite at 12
percent growth a year. If it is able to access its
plethora of recoverable shale gas, it would then
become far more reliable, independent and, perhaps
cleaner.
“We remain positive that China’s domestic shale gas
will be a major boost to supply growth, producing
approximately 150 billion cubic meters per annum by
2030,” says Gavin Thompson, head of Asia Pacific gas
research for the consulting firm
Wood Mackenzie.
He is emphasizing that China’s opportunity could be
realized over the long term but that short term, it
will still be importing fuels.
China’s National Energy Administration says that
shale gas production could reach 6.5 billion cubic
meters in 2015 and 60 billion cubic meters in 2020.
The United States also has an abundance of proven
shale gas reserves. The difference between this
country and China is that producers here not only
have the tools to ply loose the shale from deep
underground but they also have a more sophisticated
network of pipelines and storage facilities.
While foreign nationals may see shale gas
opportunities in China, they will nonetheless be
restricted in their ownership of such stakes to 49
percent. Beyond that, the rule of law there is
different.
To that end,
Royal Dutch Shell has made a big news splash: It
announced in March that will it will be the first
foreign company to enter into such an agreement with
China. It said that while China is geographically
more complex than in North America, it still feels
that its pursuit there will be profitable.
“China has huge shale gas potential and we are
committed to making a contribution in bringing that
potential into reality,” says Peter Voss, chief
executive of the oil giant, in a news release.
Environmental Role
China, which has doubled its energy consumption in
the last decade, did so because of its large
population and the need to electrify rural areas as
well as to build out its manufacturing complexes.
Coal provides about two-thirds of its electric
generation while green energy supplies 9 percent.
Its goal is to raise its renewable portfolio to 15
percent in 2020.
Meanwhile, China says that its aim remains bringing
more nuclear power on line so that it will
eventually provide as much as one-third of its
energy needs. Mainland China has twelve nuclear
power reactors in commercial operation -- six of
which have become operational since 2002, and 23
under construction.
The International Energy Agency says that China will
require at least $4 trillion to build out its
infrastructure so that it can keep the lights on. A
growing China gives American enterprises new
business opportunities. The two already cooperate in
the nuclear field and with the advent of hydraulic
fracturing technologies, ample possibilities exist
right now in the shale gas domain.
Price and supply fluctuations triggered rolling
blackouts in China in 2011. By developing shale gas,
the central government there can more easily control
pricing, says
ThinkProgress. Long term, this is a more viable
energy strategy that either importing LNG or oil, it
adds. As such, the United States can work with China
to not just maximize the benefits of shale gas
development but to also help it reduce its
environmental risks from fracking, or drilling.
“The United States and its oil companies should not
supply China with hydraulic fracturing technology
without combining that technology with safety
standards and environmental best practices,” write
Melanie Hart and Daniel Weiss of ThinkProgress.
“This includes capturing fugitive greenhouse gas
emissions, monitoring the chemicals used in fracking
fluid, and treating the wastewater to avoid
contaminating local waterways.”
Shale gas may not just revolutionize energy
production in this country. It may also do the same
in China. For China to reach its potential, though,
it will need foreign help. U.S. oil companies could
furnish some of that capital and technology, giving
those enterprises greater business ties and the
chance to better China both economically and
environmentally.
EnergyBiz Insider is the Winner of the 2011 Online
Column category awarded by Media Industry News, MIN.
Ken Silverstein has also been named one of the Top
Economics Journalists by Wall Street Economists.
Twitter: @Ken_Silverstein
energybizinsider@energycentral.com
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