The Morning Brief- - Lignet


US Push for Peace Talks Could Strengthen Taliban
During its accelerated military drawdown from Afghanistan, the Obama Administration is continuing to pursue reconciliation talks between the Taliban and the Afghanistan government, seeing them as a key element of its disengagement strategy. However, the U.S. push for talks looks not only likely to fail but may actually embolden the Taliban and weaken the authority of the Afghan national government, as LIGNET explains.
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US Unlikely to Ever Arm Syrian Rebels
A newly revealed plan for arming the Syrian opposition was considered but finally nixed by the White House, and LIGNET believes it is unlikely that the United States will send arms to Syria at any time in the near future. The risk of weapons falling into the wrong hands is too great. But in deciding not to arm the rebels, the United States likely passed up an opportunity to bring the civil war in Syria to a quicker conclusion.
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Groombridge: North Korea Repeats Old Tactic with Nuke Test
In a new interview, LIGNET senior Asia analyst Mark Groombridge said that North Korea’s February 12 nuclear test was a repeat of the same tired tactic that Pyongyang has used for two decades to extort aid from other countries. The trouble is, this tactic could work again, says Groombridge.
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Tibet: China Squeezes Harder To Exert Control
Beijing ushered in the Year of the Snake on February 10 alongside its annual crackdown on ethnic Tibetans, who began the two-week festival of Losar, the Tibetan New Year, on February 11. The latest security clampdown comes as a response to a spike in self-immolations from Tibetans increasingly frustrated by their lack of freedom and indicates that the new Chinese leadership is unlikely to change its harsh policies toward the resistive province
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Hezbollah In The EU’s Crosshairs, But Will Europe Pull The Trigger?
With the Bulgarian government’s recent finding that members of Hezbollah are responsible for a suicide bombing last July that killed six people, the European Union can now take strong action against the Lebanese Shiite group. It could brand it a “terrorist organization,” as the United States has done. But LIGNET believes that another outcome is more likely.
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Venezuela: Devaluation Hurts Economy But Will Boost Opposition
This week, the Venezuelan government devalued the currency by nearly a third to deal with severe economic problems stemming from President Hugo Chavez’s mismanagement of the economy. While this move is intended to address the government’s huge budget deficit, it is a short term fix that will not address core problems affecting the Venezuelan economy. It will, however, probably boost support for Venezuela’s opposition.
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