Latinos Could
Be GOP Allies
By DICK MORRIS
Published on
TheHill.com
on March 12, 2013
A new poll taken by Mexico's leading public opinion researcher shows
that U.S. citizens of Latino descent are potentially strong allies of
the Republican Party. The survey found strong indications that Latinos
in the U.S. are deeply worried that the Democratic Party could lead
their new country down the same path to debt and dependence that
bedeviled the nations they left to come here.
By 59-34 percent, U.S. Latinos agreed that "Democrats are closer to the
leaders we had in Latin America, always giving handouts to get votes. If
we let them have their way, we will end up being like the countries our
families came from, not like the America of great opportunities we all
came to."
By 78-16 percent, U.S. Latinos agreed that Latino immigrants must "not
go the way some have gone into high unemployment, crime, drugs, and
welfare.
They must be more like the hard working immigrants who came here and
worked their way up without depending on the government." More
important, when asked which party most shares this sentiment, they chose
the Republicans, by a margin of 45-29 percent.
These startling findings come from a voluminous survey conducted by the
former Public Opinion coordinator for the office of the Presidency in
Mexico, Rafael Giménez. The survey interviewed 1,100 U.S. citizens of
Latino origin using telephone, cellphone and many in-person interviews
conducted between Jan. 15 and Feb. 15 of this year. The survey was
organized and funded by John Jordan of Jordan Winery, a prominent
Republican donor.
Latinos feel Republicans are more likely than Democrats to work hard to
reduce the incidence of teen pregnancy (45-31); more likely than
Democrats to agree that "the family fabric in America is being ripped
apart. Parents are too permissive. There is too much divorce, too many
unwed mothers, and too many children who don't listen to their parents"
(49-32); more likely than Democrats to avoid "ruining the United States"
through too much debt (39-37).
By 47-31, Latinos agree that Republicans would do more to "strengthen
churches so they can help the poor and teach values of faith and
family." By 89-8, they think that "too many people depend on the
government and its handouts. That way of thinking is very bad and leads
to lifetimes of unemployment, poverty, and crime." And, by 45-37, they
believe the Republican Party is more likely to share their view than
Democrats are.
So why did the Latinos vote by a margin of three to one for President
Obama and the Democrats? According to Giménez's survey, the answer is
immigration reform. While national surveys last year showed immigration
third or fourth among Latino priorities, this survey put it first by a
two to one margin over jobs, which came in second.
Latinos want all "undocumented" immigrants -- by 85-7 they prefer that
word to "illegal" -- to be granted legal status immediately, as well as
a path to citizenship. But, they are divided on how long the path must
be. While 56 percent want immediate citizenship, 44 percent are willing
to wait "a few years."
More ominous is their view of why the Republican Party has opposed
immigration reform. By 61-32, they say the party is "biased against
Latinos and Hispanics."
Latinos are suspicious of those opposed to immigration legislation.
While 47 percent credit them with opposing it because they feel that
"only people who have obeyed the law and entered the country legally
should become citizens," 41 percent see a darker motivation: that they
do not want "a lot of Latinos in the U.S." and are "using the law as an
excuse to keep them out."
Last week, in this space, I discussed a national survey of Republicans
by John McLaughlin that found broad support for immigration reform. His
survey found 66 percent of U.S. Republican likely voters support
immigration reform with a path to citizenship and 75 percent back the
bill from Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) after hearing an overview of its
provisions.
The issue of immigration reform is life or death for the Republican
Party. The party's voters realize it. Let's hope their congressional
representatives do, too.
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