China continues its dominance of the global hydropower market


Renewable Energy Focus

 

The gap between solar and wind, and hydropower is steadily shrinking in China. We review some new projects being built in the country and elsewhere.

WITH 30GW of new capacity installed during 2012, global cumulative hydropower capacity jumped to 1127GW by the year-end, providing an estimated 3524TWh of electricity generation annually. Thus, this technology is still by far the one with the highest cumulated installed capacity among renewable energy sources. 

Just over half (51%) of the hydro capacity installed in 2012 was in China, converting this market into the most active for the year. With the largest installed capacity in the world also, accounting 240.7GW of total capacity, the country is continuing its expansion and currently has 61GW under construction. The most notable Chinese projects underway are:

  • Baihetan (13.1GW), which will be the third largest dam in China when completed and the fourth largest in the world. It is slated for completion in 2019;
  • Wudongde and Xiangjiaba (8.7 and 6.4GW, respectively) are located in Jinsha River. Both are scheduled to be finished in 2015; and
  • Xiluodu (14GW) located in Yangtze River. This project was temporarily stopped by the Chinese government in 2005 due to lack of environmental impact studies, but construction is again underway.

Meantime after the controversies regarding the location of the Belo Monte hydroelectric power plant in the Amazonas Area, Brazil is surging ahead once again also. Based on projects underway, it will account for 11GW of new capacity in 2015.

The small hydropower market is also still led by China thanks to rural electrification programmes promoted by the Chinese government. Currently, more than 30% of China's counties depend on small hydro, and that is continuing to increase year by year. Although verified data is difficult to come by, we estimate that around 59GW of small hydro capacity has been installed around the globe.

  Cumulated installed capacity 2012 (GW) Installed capacity 2012 (GW) Estimated electricity generation 2012 (TWh)
Europe 276 0.9 745
North and Central America 189 2.0 664
South America 133 1.9 611
West and Central Asia 155 5.3 589
East Asia & Oceania* 355 19.1 1,065
Africa 19 0.4 74
World Total 1,127 29.6 3,524
Largest National Market China China China

Key milestones

  • One of the highlights of 2012 was the installation of the last 32 turbines for the completion of the third phase of the Three Gorges Dam, the largest Chinese hydropower plant and also the biggest in the world with a power capacity of now 22.5GW. After two decades of work, the plant, located in the Yangtze River, is estimated to generate 14% of China's total hydropower generation.

  • After decades of project delays, the Boguchany hydroelectric dam was commissioned on October 2012. The purpose of the combined gravity and rock-fill dam is hydroelectric production and has an installed electric power generation capacity of 3GW. It is located on the Angara River in Kodinsk, Russia.
  • Another outstanding hydropower project was completed on 20 December 2012 in the Black River, Vietnam. The Son La project is the largest hydroelectric power station in Southeast Asia comprising six turbines with a combined capacity of 2.4GW and an annual electricity generation of 10.3GWh.
  • One of the major hydroelectric projects under the Brazilian Government's ‘Programme of Acceleration of Growth’ was finished in 2012. The 1GW Estreito Hydroelectric Power Plant is located on the Tocantins River between the states of Tocantins and Maranhão in the northern region of Brazil and has a run-of-river reservoir.

Pump storage plants

The majority of the world's pumped storage plant (PSP) capacity is also to be found in Asia (which currently has 60GW of cumulative installed pumped storage, approximately), Europe and USA. In 2012, China was the biggest market with 1.5GW added, while the rest of Asia saw 470MW of additional pumped storage capacity connected to the grid. Europe followed with 324MW, but the US market stalled completely, with no new pumped storage capacity added.

In recent decades solar and wind energy have received a lot of incentives and favorable policies, thus installed capacity for both segments has grown tremendously. However, these two technologies are not capable of storing energy and the variability of their output makes PSP plants essential for grid flexibility.

PSP is still by far the most commercially proven technology available for grid-scale energy storage. Modern PSP can achieve around 80% efficiency in energy conversion. Improvements can be seen in modern reversible pump-turbines, adjustable-speed pumped turbines, new equipment controls such as static frequency converters and generator insulation systems.

Currently there is approximately 127GW of PSP power capacity in operation throughout the world, representing the 12.7% of total hydropower capacity. In 2012, Europe had a total of around 50GW of PSP installed and, thanks to positive policy, is expected to grow to 20GW in the next ten years in the Alpine regions (Switzerland, Austria, Germany) Spain and Portugal. China is planning a 3.6GW PSP in Hebei Province, which would be the world's largest, while Indonesia is building the 1.04GW Upper Cisokan PSP. 

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